Toyota, a Hybrid Pioneer, Struggles to Master Electric Vehicles
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
This is probably all much ado about nothing. Toyota's hybrids and PHEVs are selling as fast as they can make them. The only reason their sales numbers aren't higher in the US has been lack of parts! Cannibalizing the rare materials they could use to make their very successful hybrid lineup in order to make fewer/less profitable/less impactful cars seems pretty foolhardy.
Toyota's entire MO is to take old, trusted technologies that they can refine through manufacturing. Even as innovative as the Prius was, it was not a slapped together car to meet market demand. So I find this entire framing fraught.
I think the only warranted criticism of their current strategy is that they have not been aggressive enough about locking in battery suppliers. If Toyota wants to proceed down their current path of making every car in their lineup an ultra-durable 300k-achieving hybrid, they need to make sure they don't get bottlenecked. Every other manufacturer is locking in exclusivity deals with battery manufacturers, and Toyota still has a lot of scaling up to do.
It seems an electric vehicle would require less parts and therefore less people are involved in manufacturing.
Imo this is why they like Hydrogen too, more complex to manufacture. Keeps the whole show going.
I say this as someone with an almost twenty year old Toyota/Scion in the drive. We got rid of the Leaf, wanted another Toyota, but since Toyota didn't sell EVs, they lost a sale to Hyundai. Either Toyota can "cannibalize" their hybrids, or someone else will be happy to do it for them.
Both Leafs and Teslas are examples of cars that depreciate like crazy after purchased. Meanwhile, a hybrid Rav4 or Sienna with 50k miles can be had for... $2000 off of MSRP.
If you wanted a new EV Toyota just based off of brand loyalty, and Toyota just sold you a crappy rebadged Leaf, Toyota would not be left with much brand loyalty.
The median age of a car in the US is 12 years though. Somehow I am wondering if any of these EV cars will ever penetrate as deep on the used market as ICE cars do. Will a teenager in 2040 be able to buy the equivalent of a $1500 EV beater to get to and from school?