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Starting in 2024 airlines will also need to pay to get carbon emission permits. (https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/eu-agrees-law-m...), with are now free.

I believe it will raise a bit prices in 2026 but not too much.

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The price is most determined by the competition and acceptable margins. As long as carbon emissions permits are applied universally at the market level making sure no one carrier can subvert those fees, it is likely that the rise in ticket prices would be much lower than the rise in taxes to the airlines.

As a side-effect, I’m wishfully dreaming that trains will become cheaper and make more attractive against short-haul flights.

There's some movements to reduce taxes and fees for trains to make them more competitive financially too. Makes sense.

(A similar approach is also taking hold for home heating and EV charging, no point taxing something you are trying to encourage and that will then cost you more money elsewhere)

Should have less of a per-ticket effect on most low cost carriers. Since their priority is totally filling the plane.

I'm interested in what kind of minimum price they want to set, as I really like how cheap it is to fly around Europe.

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