Inflation increases profits, too (but not in real dollars).
> This is one of the reasons why.
The reason why is inflation.
Inflation increases profits, too (but not in real dollars).
> This is one of the reasons why.
The reason why is inflation.
The price used to be $8 because they were in a tight battle with other burger joints, and that was as low as they could get it. Now they have to fight their suppliers, but not so much with their competition.
This is one of the reasons why high inflation creates unstable inflation, and why central banks like to keep inflation low.
It's sibling is "demand-pull" where customer demand causes inflation, but it equally does not explain where the extra money comes from.
A theory that does explain it is the government dumping cash into the economy - inflation consistently picks up about a year after this is done.
More importantly, this is why I said that inflation becomes more unstable when it is higher. Dramatic price increases can happen as companies become less competitive, and then price collapses can happen as well as consumers tap out and companies are forced to compete for a shrinking pie. Economists generally prefer low inflation rather than high inflation, even if all else is equal in real terms, because higher inflation brings higher volatility.
Lastly, this isn't necessarily the driver that initiates inflation, but it is a feedback loop that can propel it to overshoot an increase in the volume of money.
Reduced demand reduces prices. It's the Law of Supply & Demand at work.
The Law is always at work, even money is subjected to it. Increase the supply of money, and the value of a dollar drops accordingly. We see this effect as inflation.
In physics, we know that momentum is conserved. Any theory that deviates from that is wrong, even if we can't figure out why it is wrong.
Analogously, any economic theory that results in a "free lunch" is wrong. Any economic theory that denies the Law of Supply & Demand is also wrong. Bad government economic policies are nearly always the result of denying the existence of the Law of Supply & Demand, which is as doomed as denying the Law of Gravity.
Nothing stops the government from pretending that deficit spending is a free lunch, and they sell that notion at every opportunity. But the Law of S+D still applies.
The elephant in the room is the sheer size of the several trillions in deficit spending. There's just no way to ignore it and explain inflation away by suddenly every business is price gouging. It's not a compelling explanation at all.
You have to be careful when asserting this though, because demand does not mean what most people think it means. In particular, it does not refer to the number of people demanding a good, nor does it refer to a volume of goods purchased. A declining sales volume occurring together with rising prices does not violate the law of supply and demand.
However, there is also a stable equilibrium for a company to turn a similar profit shipping software of equal quality to a very large number of people for a very low price. Something like a spreadsheet or word-processing software. Now your software is cheap, or supported by ad revenue, and yet you can still remain highly profitable. If, however, your userbase started to shrink for whatever reason, you might have to charge the remaining users a large amount. Most will leave, but a few of those users may derive a lot of value from your software and are willing to pay, and you end up with the same economics as the CAD developer.
Software is of course an extreme example, where the marginal cost of production is approximately zero, but most industries outside of resource extraction have declining marginal costs with scale. That's why you can end up with high-quality cheap components (like cameras, etc) that are used in smartphones, where they have high-volume production, and very expensive specialty cameras for eg. microscopes, even though the specialty camera required much less investment of R&D to produce. It can only be sold at a high price because there is not enough demand to reach economies of scale that would allow a lower price.
So if for whatever reason, money was sucked out of the economy and the average person suddenly became very poor and could not afford a smartphone, it's possible that smartphone companies would compete hard to keep those customers and drop their prices. But if that doesn't make for a sustainable business, the smartphone makers have to drop production to sell only to a few wealthy buyers, the remaining phones will get much more expensive, because their components will be made in expensive fabs at smaller volumes. The total revenue will be lower, the GDP would be lower, but the average price of goods can still be higher. Especially when there's a large wealth disparity to make that high-price low-volume equilibrium stable.
Your theory of inflation does not explain why it isn't continuous, and tends to follow periods of enormous deficit spending. That's a common factor to inflationary episodes, not some industry figuring out how to gouge.
Inflation isn't a price increase in one item, but the scenario I presented above does not create a tradeoff between one item and another; it can apply to any and all category of manufactured goods or services where efficiencies of scale apply. Macroeconomists usually assume only a single fungible good anyway (a "widget").
Inflation does nothing on its own; it does not have agency. It's just a description of a symptom (increase in price). Whether that set of symptoms (Disease) is caused by price gauging or labor price increases or resource prioritization is not known just from inflation.
Although if you see that profits are way up then you know its not due to labor price increases as that company's revenue and expenses would both be up and not just revenue.
If I pour water into a cup and the line says 100 ML there's 100 ML of water. That measurement of 100 ML is a descriptor of how much water that is.
Inflation is a descriptor of how much prices have increased.
If we measure the line a second time and it says 120 ML then the water level has increased (i.e. inflation occurred). But why inflation occurred is not know _just_ by measuring the water level.
If firms increase their prices by 10% then the firm is causing inflation (prices have increased). If said firm also gets a 10% increase in their profits then we people would say inflation is entirely driven by profits (although probably strictly inaccurate). However at no point does "inflation" cause something. Inflation is _just_ a measurement.
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Sticking with the incorrect math, if your prices go up 10% and your profits go up 10% you are the cause of inflation.
If your suppliers increased their prices by 10% so you increased your prices 10% then your profit goes up 0% and if your suppliers profit went up 10% then they're the cause of inflation.
This second example is why people are getting upset. Companies are all complaining they need to raise prices "due to inflation" but since their profit margins are just getting better people are suspicious of how much of the price increase is dictated by their supplier's price increases versus greed (value pricing).
Au contraire. Inflation comes from too much money chasing too few goods and services. How does too much money come about? The government prints money to deficit spend. Why does this cause inflation? The Law of Supply and Demand. Too much money means the money is worth less.
Individual companies cannot cause inflation, because they cannot increase the money supply.
No, you really don't know what the word inflation means in the economic sense.
>> https://www.google.com/search?q=define+inflation
>> ECONOMICS
>> a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money.
Also companies can 100% increase their prices and if a singular company such as Exxon does it then pretty much every company will also increase their prices because their cost of revenue went up.
> companies can 100% increase their prices
Only if the consumers have the money, and are willing to pay it and not their competitor.
Where do they get the extra money?
So to move on to your new topic, there is a framing problem here. There does not need to be extra money during a period with inflation.
If I had $100 dollars and potatoes are $2 and a car is $50 I can get 25 potatoes and 1 car. If the costs of a car increases to $80 I can get 10 potatoes and 1 car. Inflation has occurred and I haven't done any changes to the money supply here.
And then of course, Inflation isn't a new word post-Bretton Woods; there was inflation when people used gold as currency.
Or as companies like to call it 'not leaving money on the table'.
Prices have outpaced inflation. Everything has, except worker pay and minimum wage.
Profits are record-breaking while laying off workers. CEO compensation and bonuses are insane. Housing prices are out of control. Gas is still $5/gallon where I'm at.
It all boils down to one word: GREED.
Also in the US, the lowest 10% of real wages has grown significantly since 2020, lowering income inequality vs the middle class.
In states like Texas minimum wage is still $7.25/hr and many places pay just that.
How do you reconcile your numbers with that?
Bills have outpaced wages to the point nearly a whole generation of young adults have given up on home ownership and have had to move back home.
Mortgages are increasing in years and rates, even new cars have.
Income inequality has never been higher and you're seriously saying it's gotten better since the greatest wealth transfer in history?!
> In states like Texas minimum wage is still $7.25/hr and many places pay just that.
> How do you reconcile your numbers with that?
'Assistant Commissioner for Regional Operations Stanley W. Suchman noted that the 196,000 workers earning the federal minimum wage or less made up 3.1 percent of all hourly paid workers in the state. Nationwide, those earning the federal minimum or less accounted for 2.3 percent of the hourly paid workforce.'
And that's only those paid hourly, not salaried.
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w31010/w310...
It doesn't matter what the minimum wage is though, it matters what people are actually paid. Denmark doesn't have a minimum wage and they're doing okay.
> Bills have outpaced wages to the point nearly a whole generation of young adults have given up on home ownership and have had to move back home.
Not true, and Texas is fairly affordable. (It's blue states that aren't because they all refuse to build homes.)
https://www.redfin.com/news/gen-z-millennial-homeownership-r...
> Mortgages are increasing in years and rates, even new cars have.
Rate increases theoretically don't affect the total price of a new mortgage because you can negotiate the sale price down to make up for it. Supply and demand is what controls the total price. Higher rates do reduce new construction though.
Cars got more expensive because they stopped making cheap new cars, which is bad, but it's not 100% of CPI any more than rent is.
> Income inequality has never been higher and you're seriously saying it's gotten better since the greatest wealth transfer in history?!
No, income (wage) inequality peaked in 2014 and has been flat since, then decreased since 2019.
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/inequality-might-be-going-down...
The real great wealth transfer in history was the 2020 CARES act giving a lot of money to the poor. We should do it again. (This is the one that a lot of people online like to say "we only got $600" about which is a straight up lie. It was up to $2400/month for an unemployed mother with children.)
The one that went up is wealth inequality, meaning value of unrealized assets like stock portfolios. But that's not nearly as real as cash. (Also, our top tech billionaires Gates/Bezos/Musk helped inequality out by losing half of their wealth by cheating on their wives or buying Twitter.)
It’s more complicated than that, and you know it, or you’re using that fact to further your point somewhat disingenuously. Yes, there in no minimum wage defined by law, but in practice it’s around €20 due to the collective bargaining agreements (read: unions) in most industries.
There's nothing to hide here. Just look at the median wage in both places. Or in this case, the lowest 10% wage.
I prefer Australia's wage board system, but I think nobody knows how it works because they're Australian so they've given stupid names to everything. Try and guess what "award" and "casual loading" mean.
Though that assumes the "everything" in the post is an exaggeration because I think the price of "everything" is inflation.
Or, as many people suspect, the government calculation of inflation is deliberately under representing it. The government doesn't like to admit it is the cause of inflation, hence all the excuses for it coming from the government, like "Putin's Price Hike" and all that other economically illiterate nonsense.
Companies can raise their prices at any time. So why don't they? Why do they do it only after the government dumps trillions of newly printed money into the economy?
[Citation needed]
I find it hard to believe that corporate profits rise exactly proportional or less than the inflation rate.
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CA.PA/financials?p=CA.PA
Not much of a difference. Certainly nothing that looks outright malicious.