It seems to me he wants people to look past the impressive facade of correct grammar and see that a lot of the LLMs often spew out bullshit. Personally I've seen them perform intelligence tasks, generate correct code and so forth. But I think many people ascribe to them a general intelligence that they don't have, which is why you see them quoted increasingly often online as if they were knowledgeable or correct-by-default.
I think if he wasn't making an essentialist argument about LLMs he worded himself exceedingly poorly. Arguing against the danger of blindly believing LLMs is good, but at the same time he's destroying his own credibility on the subject by exaggerating how bad they are vs. focusing on the dangers of blind trust.
This is especially notable when he then goes on to point to measurable success as a metric for other AI tech - he'd have made a far better point if he argued that LLMs also need to be evaluated carefully on a case by case basis like these other systems, rather than be taken on trust.
The examples he gives are technologies where you can point the AI to a problem and trust the results will work as intended. You don't need to check every individual output of those AIs, you can just trust that it will be better than the output you'd get from a human expert (even though it's of course not 100%, and a combination of AI + human expert may be better).
What is the equivalent for LLMs?
No, they're technologies where AI's have been tuned and tested and validated for there domain so that we after that process know that they will work as intended sufficiently often to measurably be a net benefit, just as you yourself go on to describe. They'll still make mistakes, just like you yourself point out. But they've been tested to ensure they make few enough mistakes to be worthwhile.
> What is the equivalent for LLMs?
The equivalent for LLMs is exactly the same process. To quote myself:
> he'd have made a far better point if he argued that LLMs also need to be evaluated carefully on a case by case basis like these other systems, rather than be taken on trust.
In other words: Test them on your use case, and validate their performance on that use case. Don't assume. We wouldn't take the performance of any domain specific model on trust, and there's no more reason to take the performance of an LLM on trust for a domain we've not tested it thoroughly for, and quite possibly fine tuned it for.
The difference is that LLMs do well enough to convince some people of the idea they can skip the testing and validation step, and that point - that people are prone to give them a level of trust that they should not be given - is valid. But extending that to dismissing them as "bullshit generators" as he did is equally ridiculous.
If there is no qualitative difference, then human brains are no more than machines that predict the next word at each step. This could be the case, but instinctively I feel that it's not. You're right that it's very tricky - there's some interesting approaches, such as defining classes of problems or riddles that humans find doable but LLMs do not. The below is potentially a good candidate. Ultimately, I think a decisive test will be to see whether LLMs can take on great unsolved mathematical conjectures.
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User
There are exactly three people in a room: Andrew, Bob, and Chris. Each of them is engaged in an activity. Andrew is reading a book by himself. Bob is playing table-tennis with someone else. What is Chris doing
ChatGPT
Given the information provided:
Andrew is reading a book by himself.
Bob is playing table-tennis with someone else.
We can infer that Chris must be doing something as well, but the information given does not specify what Chris is doing. Therefore, we cannot determine Chris's activity based solely on the information provided.Response: Chris is playing table-tennis with Bob.
Edit: ChatGPT 3.5 gives me the response you reported.
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Imagine that I take a road trip starting from Amsterdam, visit the cities Warsaw, Budapest, Brussels, Paris, and Berlin, and then return to Amsterdam. In what sequence should I visit those cities in order to minimise the total driving time?
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https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Amsterdam,+Netherlands/Bruss...
https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Amsterdam,+Netherlands/Bruss...