It's measuring a random quantity in the bigger picture.
Retention percent doesn't matter as much as number of users retained, which leads to total revenue. But then you have to factor in the cost of acquisition. And the cost of infra to serve non-paying users.
My take on it: they took a multivariate analysis, plugged in the details of their business model, came up with a result, and then publish it as if it's advice applicable for all kinds of companies.