I hope that one day I can be as confident as you.
That is not to say rates where they are at are too high. ~5% is likely a reasonable target rate. But going higher will not drive up unemployment.
https://www.axios.com/2023/05/08/us-labor-shortage-older-wor...
https://apnews.com/article/inflation-business-pandemics-jero...
https://www.axios.com/2022/12/16/the-missing-workers-who-are...
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/30/feds-powell-inflati...
Maybe we should start with him :-)