It's not at all clear that the former correlates with the latter.
It's not at all clear that the former correlates with the latter.
That being said, I don't think that what successful YC applicants are doing should be characterized as "filling out an application." The application just captures their past work in a form. It's the actual past work that matters, not the simple transcription.
I think my larger point is that an awesome 72 hour hack session probably isn't as good of an indicator of future success as a track record of successful medium to long term work in the past.
And if the basic business premise is just plain wrong you've you've only lost a few days of dev time rather than months
Just starting to code some crap is exactly what's wrong with the current market. Anybody can do that. And for most, it won't turn out well.
What can you do differently? Invest more time and create something better.
But many people can't ship a quality photo viewer even in months.
What heavily distinguished Facebook from Myspace in 2006 when it became open to public was the product culture and quality. It took 3 years to build.
Although I completely understand the point of being able to make quick decisions and execute, the problem is far from solved after spending 72 hours on it. It takes at least weeks to deliver a good solution.
I'm 100% sure you've spent a lot of time with that viewer afterwards until you were confident users will have no problems using it.
While engineering the front-end can be done on a 2-3 day turn-around, I'm fairly certain that the engineering problems of storing and retrieving the petabytes of photos that Facebook users upload took far more than 2-3 days. If it used existing infrastructure then you need to count that engineering time in too.
I'm currently 2 months into developing the core technology for my project, working 1-3 hours in the evening after a 10 hour day at my client. Much of this work is with new technologies and mathematics/algorithms I'm unfamiliar with. In this situation, being unable to iterate on a front-end UI design in 2-3 days has nothing to do with skill.