That said, none of what we're talking about addresses the fact that, in 2018, Gensler said, quote, "Bitcoin. Ether. Litecoin. Bitcoin Cash. Why did I name those four? They’re not securities."
Since then, things have changed, and now Gensler only highlights BTC as not a security.
If the inflection point was various teams speaking publicly about their usage of funds, and those talking points shifted Gensler's opinion, then OK, but I am not aware of an official moment when his sentiment shifted. As another commenter highlights, it could also be the transition to POS for Ethereum, but, again, I am not aware of Gensler highlighting the transition as the inflection point and this rationale fails to explain LTC and BCH.
To me, it feels like chasing opinion and public sentiment - not following rigid, established legal patterns.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jasonbrett/2023/10/01/sec-chair...
I feel we're getting a bit into the weeds, though.
Is your stance that Bitcoin is a security and that remarks made two months ago by the Chairperson of the SEC are misguided?
Or is it that Bitcoin is not a security, but Ethereum is? If so, is that for technical reasons or just due to how it's discussed and marketed?
vSeeds.emplace_back("seed.bitcoin.sipa.be."); // Pieter Wuille, only supports x1, x5, x9, and xd
vSeeds.emplace_back("dnsseed.bluematt.me."); // Matt Corallo, only supports x9
vSeeds.emplace_back("dnsseed.bitcoin.dashjr.org."); // Luke Dashjr
vSeeds.emplace_back("seed.bitcoinstats.com."); // Christian Decker, supports x1 - xf
vSeeds.emplace_back("seed.bitcoin.jonasschnelli.ch."); // Jonas Schnelli, only supports x1, x5, x9, and xd
vSeeds.emplace_back("seed.btc.petertodd.org."); // Peter Todd, only supports x1, x5, x9, and xd
vSeeds.emplace_back("seed.bitcoin.sprovoost.nl."); // Sjors Provoost
vSeeds.emplace_back("dnsseed.emzy.de."); // Stephan Oeste
vSeeds.emplace_back("seed.bitcoin.wiz.biz."); // Jason MauriceBtw, I couldn't find these on the newest version, so I'm not sure how they do it now.
There's a staggering amount of illegal mining that is never accounted for in the economic models used to determine how much control these folks have over liquidity; this entire conversation is just broadly discouraged and for whatever reason seems to have attracted very little interest even from the crypto critics out there.
The number one weapon the crypto cartel uses to shut down dangwrous critical turns developing in the story, is their ability to move the last trade price almost at will, completely opposed to any building critical narrative in order to undermine it, knowing full well that the sympathy of the media reliably lies with "number go up", not "number made up." And they can do this because they're sitting on an enormous warchest of unsold coins mined when prices were far cheaper, which they can use to fund their operations while they throttle back current coinbase sales at current prices to prop up the price.
> illegal mining
What exactly is "illegal mining"?
2023: (much smaller scale than above but still stealing over USD $150000 a year in electricity)
https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand/general/2569745/crypto-...
This time around the authorities estimate that they've only found 1%, not 10% as they had before, of the illegal mining done in their country.
That's not exactly "staggering" or significant in the context of the Bitcoin network. Unlikely that such operations have any meaningful control over the network or liquidity, even if it's just 1% of what's known.
You seem to think that these sorts of operations are somehow connected in a large coordinated cartel the controls the industry, but given that they're illegal, isn't it far more likely that these "black market" operators are fairly small by comparison to the legitimate players in the US?
The mining ban in China a couple of years back gave us a pretty good indication of the size of the legitimate industry in that country, and it absolutely DWARFS the biggest of the illegal examples you gave.
Interesting way to word it too, "illegal mining". They're just stealing electricity. If they used that stolen electricity for heating, you wouldn't call it "illegal heating", would you?
It's been happening ever since crypto mining, especially Bitcoin, existed. Long before most anyone knew what mining was, or knew to look for it being done stealrhily on someone elses's dollar ...or baht. I didn't say I condone stealing electricity for any purpose, but there's a particular hypocrisy with crypto people who claim that mining costs chase the hash rate and difficulty adjustments ensure that everyone has a fair shot at winning a coin base. Obvious nonsense.
It's hypocrisy that crypto people, who like to think of themselves as some sort of sophisticated financial visiinary class, are so hopelessly naive that it would never even occur to them to consider that being rationally self interested will inevitably and swiftly devolve into outright theft, and the obfuscated consolidation of power favors the venal corrupt and those who are willing to benefit from wholesale theft, which is why such people are entrenched at the center of this so-called decentralized system.
the papers studying the amount of black market activity in Bitcoin have consistently shown Bitcoin to be cleaner than the economies in virtually every country on the planet, except for the occasional ultra-clean tiny european state.
literally every bitcoiner since the first roll-out of the Silk Road and the resulting senatorial attacks on them, have been ultra-interested in exactly how much of their hobby is black market and how much is criminality. literally every single one of them is heavily invested in knowing more about the nature and extent of bitcoin criminality. to say that it didn't occur to them that self-interested criminals are operating in BitcoinLand is .. stupid.
I think there is lots of manipulation, but could you elaborate on how you can, for example, pump the BTC price up when you hold lots of BTC, but no USD? Leveraged futures on crypto-only exchanges?
This is not even getting into the circus known as tether, which I believe is a significant factor but actually quite a bit of an over-stated red herring serving (along with constant exchange clownery) as a distraction away from the much bigger influence that is the enormous subjective control miners have over the order book price of the coin.
The protocol development happens through BIPs (Bitcoin improvement proposals): https://github.com/bitcoin/bips
BIPs are discussed for years, before (and if) they are implemented, and basically everyone needs to agree on them, because no one wants to fork the blockchain, which could be devastating.
Sources:
https://github.com/orgs/bitcoin/people
https://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/35907/bitcoin-no...
The sentiment is an integral part of the established legal pattern - the Howey test is about "expectation of profit".
Even if based purely on vibes, I think the man on the Clapham omnibus might well say: someone buying Bitcoin today, or Ethereum in 2018, is not expecting to profit from the efforts of their respective dev team, whereas someone buying Ethereum today is expecting to profit from the efforts of their dev team. (I mean, I didn't even know Bitcoin still had a dev team - isn't it basically "finished" at this point, and has been for years?)
At this point Ethereum doesn't really have "a dev team." There are about ten independent client teams, who have public meetings to come to agreement on upgrades, plus an open research community.
When you say that an ETH buyer is "expecting to profit from the efforts of the dev team" which wasn't the case in 2018, are you talking about proof of stake? Because it's not all that different from proof of work. You run a client, process transactions, and get rewarded for doing that. Instead of buying a server rack you stake some ETH, but what you get rewarded for is running the protocol.
You don't get rewarded for just holding ETH. Unless the value of ETH goes up, but that's the same with Bitcoin and with Ethereum in 2018.
The Howey test, incidentally, is also about an investment contract. That's why an equity is a security, but a bar of gold is not, even if you bought the gold as an investment. Lack of contract is why the SEC lost their case against Ripple recently.
Not proof of stake qua proof of stake, but the fact that substantial changes to ethereum (like proof of stake) - things that change the usability of the network, and so could be reasonably expected to change the value of ethereum tokens - are still being worked on.
> The Howey test, incidentally, is also about an investment contract.
No, it's the definition of an investment contract. If it included whether something was an investment contract that would be circular.
> That's why an equity is a security, but a bar of gold is not, even if you bought the gold as an investment.
No, the reason gold isn't a security is there's no common enterprise and, more importantly, no efforts of others. You might buy it as an investment, but the investment isn't because you think the gold devs are going to add new features that make gold more useful.
> Lack of contract is why the SEC lost their case against Ripple recently.
Whatever you think about Ripple or cryptocurrency in general, that ruling was just utterly bizarre. You can make reasonable arguments for why these things aren't securities (even if I don't agree with you) but that judgement wasn't it. It's not a precedent for anything, it's just crazy.