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> if Flutter is only relevant for apps, that's a pretty small niche.

No it is not. Mobile apps are thriving. It is desktop apps that are niche now.

> ditching Flutter and using web tech for mobile too sounds like the better bet?

Quite possibly yes.

I meant it's a small niche for Flutter to address only the apps that want to be cross-platform, don't want to invest into having "native" iOS and Android versions, but are Ok with using a different technology for desktop/web (or don't need those).

It is not a small niche at all. A ton of things are mobile first/only.

And plenty of well known companies have discovered that mastering two native stacks is still easier and cheaper in the long run, than mastering a "cross-platform stack" framework + dealing with leaky abstractions + build integration issues + having to master the native stack anyway.

Either go mobile Web, or native.

Yep, a good example is the element X rewrite

They use Jetpack on Android

https://github.com/vector-im/element-x-android

And SwiftUI on iOS

https://github.com/vector-im/element-x-ios

But both use the same underlying Matrix Rust SDK

https://github.com/matrix-org/matrix-rust-sdk

So they share the core part of the app between platforms, but everything user facing is native

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