Well that’s not going to happen.
Well that’s not going to happen.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/world-oil-gas-coal-d...
Coal, in particular, is a big problem:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2023/09/04/global-coal-...
We could, in theory and with massive disruption, end emissions tomorrow. But even if we did, warming would continue for some time as the baked-in increases from the already high-levels of greenhouse gasses continued heating the planet (and this assumes that we haven't already triggered a tipping point such as melting permafrost releasing more gigatons of methane, further exacerbating warming).
Or, do you have some plan to eliminate warming instantly?
YUP. That is kind of the issue. Among the geoengineering ideas, the only one that seems to be at least reasonably reversible and tunable would be solar shields orbiting or at L1. Even that, the feedback loops are long. Overshooting/undershooting could easily get into the wrecking-and-not-recovering zone.
Likely the only sure thing is C02/Methane capture, at massive scale, which currently would burn insane amounts of energy
There's a spectrum of how controllable these things are (how large a region do you impact? how long does the effect persist after you shut your operation down?), and there are things at the more local / shorter-lived end of the spectrum that I think we should be trying. Are they a "sure thing"? No, not absolutely. But billions of us are pumping carbon into the air and nitrogen runoff into rivers and plastic absolutely everywhere. We're already gambling, but we gotta start picking better things to bet on.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/unregulated-solar-geoengineering...
a) Would need massive upscaling.
b) Would it work as theory predicts? (and is there scientific consensus it would?). Do the economics pan out as hoped? Unintended consequences? We don't know.
I'd be very hesitant to most geo-engineering plans for these reasons alone. It's a gamble, and we've done enough harmful geo-engineering already.
c) Politics. Say 1 country wants to do this. But neighbouring countries do not, and regard it as cross-border pollution. Good luck...
Pretty much the only certainty here is available raw materials (rocks to crush, and heaps of 'waste' sulfur).
Remember the alternative is letting the planet get to hot to live and everyone dying
I am not sure what else you are referring to as far as reducing warming ahead of emissions?