The dead children we must see
newyorker.com
newyorker.com
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_journalists_killed_dur...
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/20/world/middleeast/palestia...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/10/30/reuters-al-jazeera...
https://reliefweb.int/report/occupied-palestinian-territory/...
The Palestinian Authority isn't a terrorist organization, but Hamas does maintain an active presence in the West Bank. The government also explicitly encourages terrorist attacks in the region through the Palestinian Authority Martyrs Fund.
Doesn't change the consequence, but probably true.
Kill 10,000 people 5-15 years earlier than their otherwise natural trajectory for death by dumping PCBs in the river (ignoring that additional cohorts will have an increased disease burden going forward for....decades? Centuries? Who knows if you can un-shit this bed), no one gives a shit apart from a symbolic fine of 1% of annual revenue 20 years later. Certainly no actual punishment for those involved.
Kill a couple thousand with a plane into a building and the world's most powerful country starts a war.
Some people can more or only feel sorry for small children or animals, because they are obviously innocent, while a grown up could have done something to deserve it. I think that is a failure to the extreme of having a hard time dealing with more abstract (maybe indirect is a better word?) crimes.
Freon and lead were engineering decisions. Both had properties that fixed a burning issue at the time. Unfortunately they also had ... side effects that became apparent later. Neither involved "a guy", they involved entire countries, blocs and multi national enterprises.
Today it's widely known that large doses of solanine (a compound in potatoes and tomatoes) are toxic, but the amount commonly in food is thought to be safe. So we haven't banned potatoes.
But even if some insane or evil scientist invents a harmful compound that becomes widely used, I'd be mainly angry at the US Public Health Services, or the equivalent public health agency in other countries. It's their responsibility to only allow safe products. They conducted a study on leaded gasoline and decided not to ban it. And every other country allowed it as well.
So we have to conclude every country's public health agency was either corrupt or incompetent, or that the harm from leaded gasoline at the dosage used wasn't obvious at the time. (Or both.)
the harm from leaded gasoline at the dosage used wasn't obvious at the time
I think the same is true of lead in (house) paint.He was famously warned of leaded gasoline's dangers, had to take a vacation to Miami to recover from lead poisoning. And also was famously a co-inventor of CFCs.
His only saving grace is that his name is also on the list of "inventors killed by their own inventions."
Humans have eat potatoes for about 8000 years. So that seems to be a pretty large scale experiment.
While deciding to put a safe amount of a dangerous material on a product used in large scale is not a good decision.
Not sure how to explain (as I have little time now) but here is a simple way: - both potatoes and led have safe and dangerous levels - one - potato - was used since at least 8000 years ago - the other was not used on such large scale
It seems to me that we need to define safe levels in other way:
- safe levels on small scale and uses rarely
- safe levels on large scale or used constantly
Small amounts of lead don't kill you immediately, they just make you a little dumber, a little more aggressive...
With leaded gas, the problem was also these small, long term effects that had never been established despite lead being used for thousands of years.
Aside from typical drivel, what evidence do you have of lowered quality of life compared to other modes of economic structure? Of all the economic systems in the world, capitalist societies have had life expectancy (from birth, age 10, age 20, etc.) trend upwards. Famously, the Soviet Union dropped life expectancy in a time of peace, as did East Germany.
The US of A is known for its individualism in stark contrast to many other societies, so you're going to have to prove a lot with this statement:
> the profit motive distorts and chews up any moral precepts of any individual
We could literally nuke the entire planet and 30 years later have a generation for which cancer, long winters and ruined before time cities are normal. The species sucks at perceiving reality
If citizens have little or no influence on their government it might be better not to horrify them with... shall we say... reality(?) If all we have is poisonous water for you then you can just drink it without knowing what is in it.
If we are going to do some kind of democracy we need you to have access and/or exposure to the full horror of the situation.
The market machinery needs a good definition of profit. If it must all be measured in one unit we can do that, money, gold, sea shells or quality of life, it doesn't really matter to the game.
We ironically build the proverbial hospital then go look for ways to profit from it. It follows that treatment must be as expensive as possible in order to maximize profit. You could consider the hospital the profit.
If we are going to modify your reality for you then your opinion is anything money can buy and we wont have the advantages of totalitarianism either.
There would be no difference between building or bombing hospitals. It would just be a matter of which is more profitable.
Other models of economic structure is a fun topic but we are not in a position to do it. We might want to rewrite it in Rust but the best we can hope for is some small modifications, close some of the worse bugs. It is hard to let the imagination run wild if it's not going to happen.
One of the alternatives, which we use today is to add ethanol.
Ethanol had the business problem of being an alternative fuel in its own right, which competes with gasoline.
Now that I've had a kid, I understand what it means when people say kinds are innocent. Children are innocent in the way animals are innocent; they don't possess the mental faculties to understand morality. That doesn't means kids are good. They can be cruel, mean, and annoying, and to a very high degree. But, just like we don't consider it a moral failure of a dog when it jumps up and steals a piece of bacon from the table, so too do we not consider the things children do moral failures.
This differs from an adult. Adults understand morality, and thus can never be innocent in the same way, even if they act with the upmost character.
When the subject is children with cancer, cancer is the enemy. A faceless threat that everyone can stand “against” without hesitation. And this completely misses the critical fact that cancer is often a downstream effect.
I think that cancer awareness really needs to expand to include underlying causes. As it stands, the cause and effect are so disconnected that awareness often leads only to sympathy/empathy/compassion instead of driving people to anger and to push for systemic changes.
So I'm not really sure what the answer is. If the individual cases chosen for awareness campaigns could be selected based on their traceability, it might provide a bridge from cause to effect.
Or maybe it really needs to be a multi-pronged effort. Present individual cases to people care. Separately, present aggregate cases so people start linking those individual stories to systemic factors.
Since there isn't any way to use their deaths to further a political agenda no one cares.
Stats and images of sickly children have motivated (and "motivated") donations to countless non-profits and NGOs that lobby for the Democratic party, and religious organizations that lobby for Republicans. This is straight out of Contemporary Politics 101.
But accurate.
I'll just add that when I say "commercial", I mean exactly that. This is AP's former Bureau Chief in Jerusalem:
Matti [a former AP journo and critic] states that the AP’s Jerusalem bureau – like all other major news operations based in Israel and the Palestinian territories – employs too many reporters because of this hostile obsession with the Jews. The truth is the story of Israel is that of a nation rising from the ashes of the worst genocide in human history, being attacked from all sides upon its inception. Depending on your point of view, it’s also a story about the persecuted becoming the persecutors. All of this, of course, is happening to the people of the Bible, the descendants of the Hebrew slaves who were led out of Egypt by Moses and from whose ranks emerged Jesus Christ. It’s as if a new chapter of the Bible is being written in our times. Whether you think the Bible is mythology or the word of God is beside the point. The point is we are all human beings who love a good story, and this one is particularly good.
I read that a couple days ago and it's been pinging back and forth in my head ever since.
It's debatable who fits in as the slaves in Egypt in the allegory ...
Framing it like this not only evokes guilt in Europeans (in most Caucasians, perhaps?) but also effectively stifles them from voicing any support, let alone criticize Israel; and more importantly, without much consequence or thought, label any pro-Palestine group as pro-Terror. In fact, the Israeli Left themselves, a tiny minority rallying around organizations like Haaretz and B'Tselem, are under constant threat of de-legitimization, because in broader terms, they talk the same talk as pro-Palestine groups.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Syrian_civil...
Generally speaking, Israel is part of the West and we expect them to have a higher standard than some dictatorship.
That being said, how many deaths can be attributed to the US in Iraq or Afghanistan? I assume order of magnitude higher than what we're witnessing in Gaza. It seems Israel doesn't get the same free pass for some reason.
https://www.unicef.org/iraq/press-releases/more-9000-childre...
That doesn't make them wrong. There is truth and there is falsity and for every important, complicated truth, there are people who "prefer" the narrative that conveys it. But it's not the body count that establishes the truth, it's the underlying work that went into revealing it.
The truth of the situation you're intent on nudging us about is intensely complicated.
You can't criticize someone for saying something that's true, and people only do so when they are losing the argument. If you're so beaten back that you're resorting to that, I will help you: Hamas killed more Israeli children than Saddam killed American children.
But, more generally, you're just not responding to anything I actually wrote.
"Reality is too complex to understand, therefore the understanding you are offering must be wrong," is also a way to argue against anything, unless it's accompanied by some part of that reality that the other person cannot explain with their theory.
The act of stating facts is criticized as being "intent on nudging us," and rather than challenging those factual claims or contextualizing them, the line suggests epistemic disengagement in the face of a reality that is "intensely complicated."
The same media that's wrong about this is giving other information based on similar assumptions (granted that they were corrected).
And around 33% of that total is from failed rockets in Gaza (based on figures collected in previous wars).
So I don't think it's in the early stages, although this ceasefire is going to restart some elements, which is unfortunate.
Hamas needs to surrender - everything they do makes life worse for Palestinians.
Good discussion at https://politics.stackexchange.com/questions/82572/why-are-s... about the issue.
A quick Googling doesn't find me a counter-estimate from Israel. Given the very clear evidence of large scale bombardment of the Gaza Strip (Israel claims 6,000 bombs dropped, and Hamas is known for favoring populated areas; https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/israel-hamas-war-gaza-strip...), counts in the thousands seem very plausible.
I don't doubt they include Hamas fighters, but I do doubt that Israel's targeting has been so effective and precise the deaths are mostly Hamas. US intelligence estimates 20-25k Hamas members (https://www.dni.gov/nctc/ftos/hamas_fto.html); I don't think half of them are likely to have been already taken out.
Also, as a percentage of civilian population Gaza deaths are very close to Iraq deaths, except way less dead children in Gaza vs Iraq.
Afghanistan child deaths: 26,000 vs 5,500 in Gaza (according to Hamas).
At present it's not clear Israel is being held to any standard. What is the lower standard you would like them to be held to?
It would also be worth explaining why you think any country is due "a free pass" when it comes to killing. And what that "free pass" entitles you to.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Iraq_War
I'm surprised you're asking for numbers that are so easily accessible. Perhaps you're only thinking of people directly killed by US soldiers while the parent comment was considering all violent deaths caused by the war the US started?
Israel spent $23.4b on it's military vs $3.3b from the US. And the Israeli economy is $522B making the US "funding of Israel" 0.6% of their economy.
That's hardly "funded by the US government". And on top of that the US is "funding" Israel in return for technology, so it's more a purchase by the US than anything else.
So you need to take into account what the US would lose. It's far more complex than your shallow "cry and scream".
>The U.S.-Israel economic and commercial relationship is strong, anchored by an annual bilateral trade of nearly $50 billion in goods and services. Several treaties and agreements, including the 1985 U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement (FTA), solidify bilateral economic relations. Since the FTA’s signing in 1985, the United States has become Israel’s largest trading partner.
I think it's fair to say that the US has strong connections to Israel. I don't know if it's fair to imply it's totally dependent on the US as they implied, but I think it's more complex than the aid being a small percentage of the GDP.
US funding of Israel is at most a few percent of their GDP. Some years it drops to below 1 percent. If the US stopped funding Israel nothing would happen in Israel. Israel is more than capable of looking after themselves. And they have nukes.
The only political repercussions of cutting funding for Israel would be in the US itself. It buys votes. They’re not actually doing it for Israels benefit.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel_lobby_in_the_United_Sta...
For example AIPAC is pledging $100m to target in primaries progressive democrats who have not supported Israel recently. That is a hell of a lot of money: https://www.bostonherald.com/2023/11/17/powerful-pro-israel-...
It is the largest recipient of American foreign aid since WW2
Remove that and Israelis will be making peace with Palestinians very quickly.
Hey just curious here, mind explaining why/how the US is currently occupying 1/3 of Syria and taking 90% of it’s pre-war oil production?
>But there is no such thing as a pure fact, innocent of interpretation. Behind every fact presented to the world—by a teacher, a writer, anyone—is a judgment. The judgment that has been made is that this fact is important, and that other facts, omitted, are not important.
The trouble revolves around how much judgement is required on any given subject. On the right subject people can come perilously close to laying out facts devoid of interpretation; on the wrong subject either no one can or no one believes anyone can - which is pretty much the same thing.
A Nihilist is more stable than you think. A tree doesn’t need purpose to grow, and neither does a human. Instead they follow a process that’s expressed by the body in response to the environment. For humans we not only have physical sensation but also memories, ideas, and thoughts. Without a worldview these all still happen, and your body will still react to your thoughts and sensations without a purpose. A healthy Nihilist would not feel sad about having no meaning, since they never had one anyway; on reflection, they might feel happy that there’s no obligation to respond other than how their situation moves them to. A Nihilist can do what is morally right without the restrictions of a purpose that proscribes them to do otherwise.
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Longer take:
Defining what is morally right requires value judgement, and Nihilism rejects morality. What Is (facts) can't tell us what we ought to do. [1]
To build a moral framework on what one ought to do, you must necessarily ascribe meaning and value judgement otherwise it can't claim to be moral and it would merely be actions you perform devoid of meaning.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Is%E2%80%93ought_problem
Why do you think meaning is required for making a value judgement? I can very easily claim that killing humans is wrong without relying on any metaphysics, just like I can claim the sky is blue. Both are beliefs based on reasons; meaning can be discarded.
---
Morals/meaning have a shaky absolute foundation, in that deep down nothing probably matters and the universe is indifferent.
However I'm a person, born in modern society; everything has relative meaning even if the epistemological foundations are shaky.
I see Nihilism similar the mathematicians trying to prove foundational math [1], and similarly doubting it's actually fundamental.
Yet here we are using math to amazing things! Math doesn't need to be true for it to be useful. I find useful things valuable.
Meaning, in particular shared meaning, is similarly valuable and worth pursuing even if they can't be proven.
I agree but I think the breakdown is even stronger than that: Nihilism gives you no way to decide what is "better" in the first place.
If you've gotten to Nihilism, you have a blank slate to build what you Do believe.
Ascribing meaning to things has value. For example, human life in Nihilism is unimportant, which may or may not be true, but we all benefit from the shared belief in the value of life even if it's technically wrong.
So don't stop at Nihilism as the conclusion but rather use it as a canvas and build up what's meaningful to you. With any luck, others will find the same things as you meaningful.
It was my way out of Nihilism. The pursuit of being good is more important and valuable than us all agreeing on what is good (or even that good exists at all). And given that goal, all you can do is try your best.
Behind every human presentation there is a judgment, sure, but many facts simply exist in nature, ready to be observed and judged without a preexisting agenda.
I'm naturally suspicious of people who put "People's" in front of words where the word should be implied. It's like a People's Republic, you know? What's Zinn's agenda? Perhaps he is telling on himself, in this quote.
We never know any data before interpreting it through theories. All observations are, as Popper put it, theory-laden, and hence fallible, as all our theories are. . . . The growth of knowledge consists of correcting misconceptions in our theiories.
Pi is a great example. Did circles exist before minds existed? Or are circles approximations of the observed world?
In your math example, yes, pi is a constant of nature that simply is. However, in choosing pi over Euler's number or the square root of -1 for your comment, you've made an implicit judgement about their relative importance. That's probably inconsequential for most math facts, but could be a lot more impactful for people presenting history or the news.
There really aren't any circles in the physical universe. There aren't any ellipses either. I'm not sure about lines. You're going to hit Planck's constant and the speed of light in any example you name.
Charge seems quantized, so you can probably have the integers and fractions, but real numbers are right out.
Also why "unbiased" reporting can never truly exist (however wonderful that would be).
The choice to report something is itself a judgment of the topic.
Within that topic, you can present all the facts that you know, or just the ones that support a certain narrative.
Let's say you are reporting on the elevated rate of gun violence in Chicago compared to other US cities.
Which of the following facts do you include in your story? (For sake of argument, assume these are factually accurate statements.)
1. Chicago votes predominately Democrat.
2. Chicago has a higher poverty rate than other cities.
3. Chicago has a large black and Hispanic population.
4. Chicago has more gangs than other cities.
By mentioning certain remotely related facts, it looks as if you're hinting at giving an interpretation of the central facts.
If you want to convey facts about a topic like gun violence in Chicago, then stick to facts closely relevant to it. Like different ways of slicing up the data. You might show a density map of where in Chicago most of it has happened over a certain period, or demographics about gun violence.
Now if you want to explore a link between gun violence and something else like poverty, then you have to get your ducks in a row about that. Such a subject deserves to be treated by a sophisticated researcher with an expert background in statistics. If that researcher postulates some kind of link, they have to look at all the reasons why that might be false, not only true.
If you want to preempt those accusations of bias, then you need to cover your bases and present all the facts that the public may believe to be relevant. Even those facts which you personally believe to be irrelevant distractions from the narrative you prefer.
That's not the same as avoiding biases.
You can't pander to both at the same time. What you can do, and typically is done, is pander to one or the other by conforming to one narrative or the other, choosing or omitting facts according to the needs of one narrative or the other. That is pandering.
there's a lot to discuss on this topic without "contextualizing". you can report on whether gun violence is up or down YoY, whether the percent delta is above the noise floor of the last few years, compare against trends in similar US cities, that sort of thing.
once you start including facts like 1, 2, 3, or 4, you are crafting a narrative, whether it is explicit or not. it's irresponsible to include this stuff unless you are prepared to make a detailed analysis of whether these factors actually predict crime, thorough comparisons against other cities where the same facts are true, possibly some regression analysis. most journalists lack the time and capacity to do this.
That doesn't mean people should disregard journalism done from "journalism hot spots". But it's an important thing to keep in mind, and I think it bears especially on the question of how much emotional valence we should want invested in stories.
“Twenty-five years ago I tried to bring home the same point to a group of physics students in Vienna by beginning a lecture with the following instructions: 'Take pencil and paper; carefully observe, and write down what you have observed!' They asked, of course, what I wanted them to observe. Clearly the instruction, 'Observe!' is absurd. (It is not even idiomatic, unless the object of the transitive verb can be taken as understood.) Observation is always selective. It needs a chosen object, a definite task, an interest, a point of view, a problem. And its description presupposes a descriptive language, with property words; it presupposes similarity and classification, which in their turn presuppose interests, points of view, and problems.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theory-ladenness
https://plato.stanford.edu/search/searcher.py?query=%22theor...
Not always true. The goal of facts is to create trust and order. So when disputing "facts", it will initially cause chaos and disorder. Additionally, challenging a "fact" should come with reasoning (usually through the scientific method), and not an unresearched response. For example, flat-earthers deny a fact, yet offer no research. In such a case, a derogatory label is provided.
When you or I drive/walk, what do we experience: flat earth, of course. In other words, both flat-earthers and spherical-earthers experience the same. Further, flat-earthers reason that if the earth were to be round, one would fall off of the surface of the earth on a sea/land travel. Since such an incident never occured, flat-earthers reason that the earth can't be spherical. Flat-earthers reasoning is not spurious, they are entirely reasonable.
How to help them, you have to make them pilots and fly at 50000 feet, and they can experience the sphericalness of the earth directly. In other words, you can't transfer knowledge via authority. That's why there are disputes about what sciences are? Are sciences reduced to a set of theories, or just experiments, both theories and experiments? What happens when one theory gets supplanted by another, better theory? These are deeper questions about knowledge.
When I am sick, I trust some or doctor about his knowledge to diagnose. In some cases, even patients start doing research on their own (you can find many stories on this forum) to figure out when the doctors are not helpful. No one creates chaos, if one is genuinely seek knowledge. Instead of seeking knowledge, one seeks fame, followers, etc. Or as the other commenter said 'when so much energy is spent trying to undermine one's opponent'. That's a different story.
We have to be careful about psuedo-winning against those who create chaos. Here is an interesting piece by Late Prof. Larry Laudan: "Science at the Bar--Causes for Concern" [1], originally appeared in Science, Technology, and Human Values 7 (41):16-19 (1982)
Yes there is. People who say otherwise just want to push their partizan viewpoint.
You can present non-biased facts, it's just that it's hard and not financially rewarding because when you're non-biased you loose the polarized audience. Sticking to a single world view gives you a loyal audience.
But we need to do it so that we can stop talking.
Other peoples in the region can kill with impunity and no one will report on it at all. Syria, Yemen,Lebanon, Afghanistan, Iraq, etc... silence is the game
If a Jewish persons defends themselves though, that is front page news.
I agree with you that we need to always provide clear context for what is happening in this specific situation, not rush to judgment and not to be as reactive in general. Israelis are defending themselves, Hamas is clearly using their own people as human shields. Saying that, Israel does have other options in this war, options that would reduce the civilian death count (e.g. allowing women and children leave Gaza for Israel, even at the cost of an increased terrorist activity).
It also helps to understand that the "browner" an Israeli citizen is, the less likely they are to agree with liberals like me in the west about Israel's policies towards Palestinians. Israeli citizens of middle eastern ethnic origin are much more conservative than those of European origin.
Not quite true? From what I read, any solidarity with the Palestinians is considered treacherous.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=JQS-_9K5-Dk&t=592
> ...more conservative than those of European origin
Speak about racism and decolonization, immediately followed by this? The capitalists funding settlements and displacements in East Jerusalem and the West Bank, or the Kahanists & JDL aren't necessarily only Mizrahi or only Ashkenazi.
I don't think it's a stretch to consider big parts of Israel as very similar culturally to the US.
> Moreover, there's a particularly disquieting subtext that Jewish people could be expelled from the Levant and a just status quo ante restored to the region; that outcome would probably amount to a genocide of the Mizrahim. See also: "decolonization".
Also a genocide of the Ashkenazim. While certainly some have dual-passports and some legal claim to "go back" to Western countries (but not all by a long shot!), we're talking 2nd/3rd/4th generation people in many cases. Forcing people to go to countries they have no connection to, which people fled in many cases because of the Holocaust, would be itself an act of ethnic cleansing. Which already happened to the grandparents of many of these people.
> It also helps to understand that the "browner" an Israeli citizen is, the less likely they are to agree with liberals like me in the west about Israel's policies towards Palestinians. Israeli citizens of middle eastern ethnic origin are much more conservative than those of European origin.
True. Though right about now, almost everyone in Israel has moved "rightward" in their views, I believe, and unlike the response in the West, the Israeli public is very sure that the only thing to do that makes sense is to destroy Hamas, somehow. (The "somehow" is an important differntiator between different value systems - some people worry more about Palestinian civilians, and some, regrettably in my mind, worry less.)
I suppose it is similar to how educated Ismaili Muslims are viewed as Western-adjacent, because their hereditary spiritual leaders the Aga Khans have been resident in Europe, and intermixed with the European aristocracy, for a very long time now.
It's been a few years, but for MONTHS we saw nothing but news about killings in Syria and Iraq: at the start of the Syrian civil war, and then later during the rise of ISIS. Yemen, Lebanon, and Afghanistan have also been widely covered, albeit less so.
This claim is factually a bullshit conspiracy theory.
This article doesn't help answer it. It's just a journalist trying to justify a more emotionally powerful and eye-catching form of journalism in a world where a huge number of people are already addicted to doomscrolling. If anything, we need mutual disarmament in the area of giving people an endless stream of depressing and enraging news in ever more optimized ways. I would treat this piece similarly to an oil industry worker explaining the benefits of using more fossil fuels, or an alcohol industry executive expounding on the positives of drinking.
It does.
> Images of dead children have great emotional and political power because most people in the world rightfully agree that their deaths are intolerable.
All of them. How is this not obvious?
Not sure if you are in agreement with the comment you are replying to or challenging it. If the latter - your stance does not address the question. All unjust deaths are tragic, we could have thick magazines published daily listing details of unjust deaths of children just in the US. So the question is what do we pay attention to? (Apologies if I misunderstood your comment.)
We collectively believe child murder to be beyond the pale. I don’t think it’s rhetorical but I also don’t think it’s debatable. So, the essence of my comment is this, to be clear: if a child dies due to some consequence of society we’re capable of changing, we should be forced to look upon those images.
> if a child dies due to some consequence of society we’re capable of changing, we should be forced to look upon those images
Just to reiterate: this is impossible due to various unresolvable constraints.
> All of them. How is this not obvious?
Counter-examples are staring in your face in real time. Some are using kids as human shields as we speak, because as far as they're concerned those kids go to heaven anyway (whereas they themselves go to heaven if they kill people of other faith, so why not give kids a favor too?)
In the general population, yes.
However, Hamas certainly didn't believe so. Extremists of all kinds, the same, even in the US.
Putin didn't either, though, I guess, he must've changed his mind on that one since the whole thing didn't really go according to his plan.
Yevgeny Prigozhin certainly didn't believe war was bad, nor does Erik Prince.
I also have my doubts about the "defense" industry. There are certainly people in the (illegal) arms business who very much believe war is a good thing.
Maybe I challenge the premise of the article in the sense that... Yeah. No shit?
Honestly... These days I'm so emotionally exhausted that I just see an article like this as a way to get a good by line. Shut up we know kids are being blown up.
Right now I just want to eat maple syrup greek yogurt and listen to pop music while I browse HN. I just can't with the dead kids 24/7 any more.
In any case, I thought the place with articles about the intricacies of pointers in C++ would be safe from the politics and dead children. Clearly I was wrong.
As with many things there's probably a spectrum not binary, and there are legitimate debates around to what extent people get disconnected from physical reality basics. I can perfectly well believe getting too abstracted is bad, but at the same time getting too close seems to clearly be not good either, resulting in higher stress or flat out PTSD and then cynicism/nihilism on top if no progress can be made because the situation simply isn't reactive to individual outrage. In general I'd say the biggest hardest aspects of politics and geopolitics are that way precisely because they're incredibly complex with large numbers of powerful competing very entrenched interests and arguments, good arguments on multiple sides even, it's not something where the public being upset for awhile necessarily means it just all gets cleanly resolved.
And even if public outrage and shock does manage to spark some political movement, that absolutely may or may not be a positive thing. Plenty of horrors in history have been committed in response to "DO SOMETHING!!!"
--
Edit to add: Despite having commented and upvoted, I do agree with others that while in principle there are interesting intellectual and more specifically technological discussions to be had here, this prompt in particular is not a productive one and doesn't look to be producing something good for HN. A lot of the same well worn circles, ignoring complexity, adding a helping of mutual flagrant disrespect and condescension that turns people off, done in at least one case while also actively decrying people being too "politically encamped" without a shred of irony. So here I am having commented, upvoted, and then flagged. Doh :(
--William Randolph Hearst before the Spanish American war
I think this war will be seen as the beginning of the end for the western worlds support for Israel. The director of the ADL was recorded as saying: "The issue of the United States’ support of Israel is not left and right. It is young and old.”[1]
It may take a few years or even a couple of decades but eventually there will be a viable US presidential candidate who is more tempted by the votes on the table than by the pro-Israel lobby.
[1] https://justicereport.news/articles/2023/11/14/adl-director-...
“Celui qui n’est pas républicain à vingt ans fait douter de la générosité de son âme; mais celui qui, après trente ans, persévère, fait douter de la rectitude de son esprit.”
A quick search shows the quote originating in the 19th century.
As a young man I was generally pro-Israeli, I can remember a teacher in high school telling us about how great Israel was the morning after 9/11, how they fought all those wars against Arabs who hated them (for no reason at all), Moshe Dayan's cool eyepatch, etc etc.
I'm 36 now, and things are different:
- I know who Netanyahu is, and what he's said.
- I know who AIPAC are, and what they've said.
- I know who the ADL are, and what they've said.
- I know how the British Mandate of Palestine ended
Younger generations will be finding a lot more of what I learned a lot more quickly.
- how Israel has repeatedly needed to fend off simultaneous attacks on its existence
- what the rules of war actually are, and what counts as a war crime or not, and how restrained Israel has been in this regards
- how Palestinians in the Gaza Strip are highly radicalized and even celebrated the 9/11 attacks on the very day of
I’m not claiming to be representative of people my age. I’m simply providing a counter example to you, to show that “learning the facts a lot more quickly” can lead one to different conclusions.
For me, I will unapologetically stand on what I perceive to be the side of civilization, against the forces of barbarism that we saw unleashed on 10/7. Others may perceive differently, or have different values. That’s fine, but it doesn’t make one perspective the obvious and objectively correct one.
AIPAC, the ADL and 1948 Britain (?) are not Israeli. We agree with some of what they do. The Israeli public is VERY conflicted about Netanyahu. It's like saying that since Trump got elected, America is a racist misogynistic country.
I am Israeli. I want to live without fear of being gunned down in my house or at a rave at 6 AM like the 1200 people who died on October 7th. I want to live without fear of a rocket fired from Gaza exploding on my house.
Am I allowed that right? If I am, pray tell, how do we get from October 7th to there?
I’m not sure creating a new generation of angry orphans in Gaza will get you there.
It feels like everyone in the world is criticizing what the IDF does. Nobody seems to have an alternative. Hamas keeps repeating that they want no Jews between the river and the sea and they plan to commit October 7th-like atrocities again and again. What is the IDF and the Israeli government supposed to do?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politician%27s_syllogism
I don't know what the solution is. People much smarter than me have tried to come up with one. What I can definitively say is large-scale civilian casualties in Gaza is unlikely to prevent another October 7th someday, and may well help cause another one.
Some problems are intractable. Christians in the area have been arguing since 1757 about who's allowed to move a ladder, without resolution, and no one even died over it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status_Quo_(Jerusalem_and_Beth...
So Israel acts, with the goal of destorying Hamas's military ability. If you forcibly take away the other side's guns they can't shoot you anymore. That's not a syllogism, it's simple logic.
This is a solution with a terrible cost, brought about by Hamas's continued active use of their citizenry as human shield. Hamas can end this today by disarming and surrendering. The Gazans would get a functioning state and a better life for their citizens.
Israel doesn't have this option - right now it is do or die.
If there is a way to neutralize the threat from Hamas without civilian casualties, I'm all ears. If not, I assert that any reasonable westerner would act exactly the same. Go ahead and prove me wrong.
IMO, that wound up a cautionary tale that proves my point.
Israel, like the US in Afghanistan, cannot achieve this goal via their current approach, no matter how much they wish it.
I don't know what the goals were in Afghanistan. Short of ICBMs, I don't see how Afghanistan could ever threaten the US. The threat against us is local and immediate and has already proven to be real.
Again, I don't doubt the threat. It's demonstrably real. I doubt the IDF's current response to that threat is going to be successful at neutralizing it. I strongly suspect the response to that threat is going to make things worse in the next few decades.
This is not about Israel protecting someone else. This is about physically protecting our home. We do this or we die.
Hamas rockets have the range to reach about 80% of Israel's population. They've shown willingness to amass and fire them in large numbers. It's not a question of "if", but "when". Again, would you sit and wait?
So'd the Palestinian one. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Gaza_(2007) No elections in seventeen years, now.
> The Afghan people, presumably, did not fear for their lives enough to stand up to the Taliban.
I would presume, as with Hamas, that it's the opposite; that fear for their lives is precisely why they do not stand up to violent extremist groups controlling their area.
> Again, would you sit and wait?
I'd start with fixing the intelligence failures that permitted the attack to proceed.
Ignored warnings: https://www.ft.com/content/277573ae-fbbc-4396-8faf-64b73ab8e...
Halted overnight/weekend operations: https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-israeli-intel-unit-wasnt-o...
I'd also be investing a lot in expanding things like Iron Dome and border surveillance.
There are actions available that are not "flatten entire blocks of Gaza and displace a million people, generating the next generation of pissed off extremists".
> I would presume, as with Hamas, that it's the opposite; that fear for their lives is precisely why they do not stand up to violent extremist groups controlling their area.
I can accept that.
> I'd start with fixing the intelligence failures that permitted the attack to proceed.
Of course they're doing that, and will continue to do that after the war ends.
> I'd also be investing a lot in expanding things like Iron Dome and border surveillance.
Here's the thing about Iron Dome and border surveillance. These are like watchdog mechanisms and monitoring systems for software. You can add as many of these as you like, at some point you're going to have downtime. You and I don't know of all the times significant attacks were planned and foiled. We do know of all the rocket attacks - of which there have been many over the years - and Iron Dome is not perfect.
> There are actions available that are not "flatten entire blocks of Gaza and displace a million people, generating the next generation of pissed off extremists".
You've suggested defense. I agree. We should be better at defense. We should fix as many bugs in our defense as we can. But as the quote goes, the bomber will always get through. Things will not materially change until the extremists on their side* are removed from power, both for Israelis who live in fear of attacks, and Palestinians who live in fear of Israeli retribution - but also in dire economic terms and without prospects, even well before October 7th.
* and ours, though their damage is generally directed at the West Bank for now
Agreed! Generating a bunch of new extremists in Gaza via 6,000 bombs (so far) and a land invasion that leaves a pile of rubble in its wake is not likely to accomplish this.
You continue to make the same logical fallacy; "we must do something, this is something, therefore we must do this".
I'm not a general. I don't know if the bombing was militarily necessary. The IDF high command thinks it was, and has proof that every bomb targeted a Hamas asset.
Israel has called again and again for civilians to leave. The vast majority did. They're not doing great but they are alive and safe, at least from Israeli attacks. International aid has been brought in over the past week.
You seem to imply there is an alternative. I explained why bolstering defense is not enough. I explained why doing nothing is not an option. I explained why this action will remove the threat, however temporarily. I agree with you that more nonviolent action is needed, after the dust settles, to achieve a more permanent peace. But for now, how do we address the immediate threat?
It is not possible to stop people from becoming suicide bombers by any means other than convincing them it's a bad idea. There is no way to take away all the resources that can be used to create bombs.
There's a big difference between a single person or a three-person group creating a makeshift bomb, and an organized 50,000-strong terrorist organization.
Not saying we'll ever be best buddies but a mutually beneficial peace agreement is definitely possible - under the right conditions.
"some problems are intractable" isn't an argument here, it's a fact. You can't just say "this fact isn't good enough". The entire idea that an occupation of Gaza could possibly lead to a demilitarization of Gazans is incredibly naïve, Iran will never stop arming terrorists in Gaza. Occupying a hostile territory always leads to more terrorism, not less. There is no reason to believe that this occupation will make Israeli's safer, and many reasons to believe it will make them less safe. Obviously it sucks to be in this situation, but rejecting the reality of the situation doesn't help anyone.
America's support for Israel will never recover to the heights it once enjoyed.
I can see you have picked a side in this debate. In this case: Palestinians, or at least not-Israel.
Warning, what follows is an everything-sucks-and-there-really-is-no-solution.
Here are some basic facts as I understand about the long-term situation. First, how messed up is the Gaza strip?
- Gaza is an open air prison that has no functioning economy and Israel controls all electricity, food, water, etc to a practical extent. It has no real jobs or industry, it survives on humanitarian aid from the UN and in particular Qatar.
- To underscore that, Gaza really has no economy. They have no resources. Their population isn't particularly educated, they have no high-tech, they have zero relevance in the world economy.
- Gaza is run by a terrorist group and is effectively a mafia state. Remember when I said no jobs? Welllll, actually the only jobs are with 1) the government (run by Hamas) or 2) as a terrorist... in Hamas. The only money that DOES flow into Gaza (of the legitimate sort) must flow through a government state, and Hamas maintains that grip with violence and intimidation.
- Gaza was once run by Egypt for about 25 years in the latter part of the 20th century. They eventually said "no thanks" and handed it effectively back to Israel. They Egyptians HATE the Palestinians. This means, no immigration, no leaving Gaza through Egypt, no settling/expanding into Sinai. ZERO CHANCE. The Egyptians will let the Palestinians starve.
- Gaza will not get any territory from Israel. That is not happening, not now, not ever.
- Gaza has, over the last 75 years of becoming an open air prison and totally dependent on outside help, gone from 340,000 people in 1970 to about 1.5 million in 2010 or so and still growing. Keep in mind, this is an area with no real economy, no jobs, no trade, no means of self support. This isn't some Malthusian complaint. By going from 300,000 something to 1.5 million, the sheer scale of the problem is much greater. The threat the Gaza population poses is far greater. The amount of money that would be needed to fix Gaza is 500% greater. It basically guarantees they can't grow food for themselves, that there probably isn't enough water longer term. It basically is an unsustainable population for the area and region they live in. It makes EVERYTHING far worse. Basically, the largesse needed to modernize a country of 350,000 people is far different that the amount of political will/influence it takes to fund 4-5x more people.
- to make things worst, the only real function Gaza has geopolitically to be a thorn in Israel's side. Currently, Iran is funding this because Israel is quietly aligning with Sunni Arab states (Saudis, etc) who are the blood enemies of the Shiites/Iranians. Thus the only other money that flows into Gaza is for proxy war, which ... goes through Hamas and cements them. This means there will NEVER be peace, because the only jobs in Gaza are Hamas foot soldiers, and the only money that really flows through is because Hamas keeps up the fight with Israel.
- For the Palestinians, they have always survived because oil was important, and it provided money to the Arab world, and the Palestinians were a proxy to keep Israel in check. But oil will "soon" (in the geopolitical sense) NOT be important. EVs and alternative energy will vastly undercut demand in oil, and when the extra money stops to the arab states AND the rest of the world decides that paying attention to the Arabian peninsula they have no other use for is dumb, the money will run out for the Palestinians.
- A bit longer term, Global Warming is heating up, and to survive it you need a functioning grid, a good economy (aka you need money). The Palestinians are in a prison, and it'll start getting hot. But in terms of predicted population movements/displacements from Global Warming, the Palestinians are small fry.
- A separate state for Gaza with the current leadership and stated goals of destroying Israel is meaningless, and probably counterproductive. First off, it means Israel can cut off all water / electric / communications to Gaza as a hostile state. Then, when-not-if Gaza pops off rockets across the border AKA an Act of War, it isn't an interaction between a captive wards of Israel, this is Gaza-the-soverign-country vs Israel-the-sovereign-country who outguns them vastly and they can carpet bomb them.
- "Pressure Israel for Peace" is just a bandaid on the current situation, and gets it to the previous state of "holy shit there is no solution". Israel is facing a demonstrated terrorist state, and has no reason to surrender territory, concessions, independence, or ANYTHING to Gaza. Not because I like Israel, it's simply historical fact. They would be colossally stupid to do so, and would only do it for vast sums of money. Gaza is their enemy, Palestinians are their enemy, and not in the European sense of "these two royal houses hate each other but they people are just peasants that want to work on the farms and don't care about the royal games". The Palestinians at the ground level hate Israel to a fundamental core, and unfortunately there's no way to undo that.
- "Stop supporting them militarily" is also a fantasy. Even if you did, Israel is a fairly wealthy economy and trading partner. They are practically a member of NATO/EU. You think Israel would dry up without US aid? Look, what stops the extreme right of Israel, who have effectively controlled Israel since the failed Camp David talks of 2000, from carpet bombing the Palestinians in response to rocket bombing acts of war and possibly using nuclear weapons on Iran, is that we give them a lot of money. If we stop giving them money, their patience with the current stalemate ends and they explore a "final solution" and yes I know what that implies on all levels.
Is there a non-final solution?
Do you think the collective, young, ignorant, radicalized population will wake up one day in Gaza and realize "man, fighting Israel is pointless" to the point that Israel actually agrees they are peaceful and lets them build an economy? I would sooner believe in the old testament's wildest fantastical stories than that happening.
Do you think that some country desperate for people allows a million plus Gazas to move to, say, Siberia, and that the Gazans would do it? I mean, uh, maybe? Seems pretty unlikely.
Or what will probably happen, is that oil money dries up, so all the money to Gaza dries up, the Israelis refuse to help, the Egyptians refuse to help, so then they plead with the UN for enough assistance, but no one does anything besides token/publicity based support, and the (likely at this point 2-2.5 million people) Gazans starve en masse.
Look, the UN is not a world government, the international court of justice is a joke. There is no group of nations with real influence that will do anything to Israel, it's a functioning Western government with a good economy. Nobody is messing with that, because it is good business.
Why are you using justicereport.news as a source? I hadn't heard of it but after clicking through it a little it's clearly a fringe crazy spam site (objectively-- take a look at some of the articles)
If this is worth discussing you can easily find a better source
https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/491344/American-youth-break...
Points for it being legitimate:
- Congruent with what the ADL publish on their own website
- recording sounds fine
- ADL have not denied it
Points for it not being legitimate
- Heavy biased source
- I'm not an audio engineer, so I only have an amateurs intuition of what sort of recordings sound real
Read between the lines: “We used to control the types of dead children we wanted you to see. But the darned social media is ruining it for us. Now you might see some dead children you weren’t supposed to”
Let's say I show your average member of the United States a photo array of one hundred seventeen (117) dead infants. I tell you they all died of a single cause. People make sounds. I say "This happens every year, to roughly this degree." Wow! More noises are made. People sound like they want to do something about it. Write to senators, pass laws, protest.
But when I get down to brass tacks and say, "Hey, those are all boys. That's how many die from circumcision each year, roughly, in the United States. And by the way, the NNT (number needed to treat) is pretty high, you need a least a hundred circumcisions to prevent just one urinary tract infection." And it all will just stop.
New noises, about religious freedoms, and tradition, and the son looking like his father, and "won't he be made fun of?" appear in place of the original noises. And I could say, "It's only done maybe one in ten times in Europe, civilization hasn't ended there" and it won't make a lick of difference. It's not about guns or anything else, people just don't like to change, even over some fairly trivial business. I'd be willing to lay odds that nobody reading this comment who was pro-circumcision has changed their minds. And I would not be shocked for almost any issue that I selected would have a similar outcome.
Are people more callous than they are unwilling to change? Perhaps. Are they burned out from hearing Sarah McLachlan's voice starting off an ASCPA commercial, and, in a parallel to Terror Management Theory, most people will, to some degree or another, shut themselves off from a vast and bewildering array of suffering against which they could make only the most ineffectual showing, knowing that for every bit of effort they expend, it will not reach millions of humans and other creatures whose life is primarily one of grim endurance and a kind of mute hope? I could not tell you.
I think the last paragraph is well written:
"The past six weeks have made it clear that the world will respond to images of slaughtered children, and it’s worth asking why it’s taken this long for people to see what that looks like. There is no question that images of dead children carry an immense amount of weight, which, in turn, must be handled responsibly. But that does not mean that any attempt to get the public to see them is automatically manipulative or propagandistic. It is far more manipulative to edit out the dead children or to hide them under a veil of solemnity and manners."
If showing 'the other' people dying on tv/print/web is generally normal, and showing 'our people' dying is generally tragic, there's a deep suggestion that 'the others' are less worthy of dignity than 'ours'.
Though, statistically speaking, one might expect to see a lot more murdered Gazan children, given that so, so many more have been horrifically killed, every year.
So if you have 12 kids on one side, and thousands on the other, you'll see more footage of Gazan children, assuming no bias in reporting.
Is there a source for "thousands of Gazan children under the age of 12 dead"? I'm sure many were (killed) but thousands seems on the high side of that estimate. Gaza's population is extremely young so unfortunately civilian casualties will include a lot of children.
I'm not sure what "no bias in reporting" can even mean in these situations. The loss of any child is a tragedy. The whole situation is just a tragedy. I'm not sure what the media is trying to do with footage of the dead. Maybe we should start running footage of children killed in car accidents to encourage people to drive more safely? Maybe we should do a few takes to find the best "dead".
https://www.unrwa.org/resources/reports/unrwa-situation-repo...
> Maybe we should start running footage of children killed in car accidents to encourage people to drive more safely?
Yes.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/longform/2023/11/1/know-their...
133 babies below the age of one
482 toddlers (1-3 years old)
344 preschoolers (4-5 years old)
1,042 primary school children (6-12 years old)
Numbers are for 7th-25th October. So ~2 thousands <=12 years of age already more than a month ago.But I'm sure the number is high given the dense population and the large proportion of children. Very tragic. I think this will be clearer over time but this conflict will be seen as whatever it was before Oct 7th and after Oct 7th.
Not clear where we go from here. On one hand I blame the Palestinians, both in terms of their recent and historical actions, on the other hand we wouldn't be in this situation without Israeli government actions, strategically and tactically, over the last few decades. But then this government is in power because of the Palestinians. There are of course other players that have been working on creating this mess.
Most likely we're still going to escalate from here. It's sad but it's hard to see any other way.
The majority of this number are adolescents between 15 and 18 that are active participants in the conflict.
Also, it should be noted that even the source for the 6000 UNRWA is providing comes from the Gaza government, i.e. from Hamas.
This has real world impacts. E.g. thinking Russia vs. Ukraine we had a lot of western volunteers travel to fight for Ukraine, and many got killed, and very likely the media of various kinds played a major role in people's emotional response to the point they go and die for Ukraine. You might have two people living next to each other, one of them on Pro-Russia social media who is convinced that Russia is defending itself against NATO, and another who is going to Ukraine to fight against Russia. You also see similar things in internal politics, e.g. in the US and other places. So the media is biased and manipulative, people are lazy, easy to influence, and respond emotionally. And the world seems a less stable place. A post-truth world I guess, if there ever was truth.
People in the US are too politically encamped for pictures of dead kids to move the needle on gun rights at this point. It's not happening; it's been made clear over and over again that no matter the cost in human lives, "muh guns" is what triumphs over everything else for Americans. The consequences are obvious and the stalemate is so eternal that "a school shooting happened in the US" doesn't even make the local news here anymore in 99% of the cases.
From an ethical perspective, publishing those pictures will only harm the relatives of the victims - once it's been normalized by a regular outlet to try and push this needle, there's a whole array of sleazeballs out there with less ethics that will do it for every shooting, regardless of the wishes of the family, whether that's to move the needle or to just be a dick to the relatives.
It's also not comparable to the horrors of war in this case - there the needle can be moved with that kind of shock imagery because people are so used to the sanitized view of war. School shootings are already bloody - it won't move any needles.
> People in the US are too politically encamped
I think politics is the wrong label for this. Politics is the forum in which the underlying worldviews express themselves. There are a few, strongly developed worldviews at play here and reducing it to just politics misses the depth of the disconnect.
The more I see dead kids from a school shooting, the more I will advocate for armed guards at schools to help dissuade would-be shooters from attempting anything. I would also advocate for the abolition of "Gun-Free Zones" as they only advertise to criminals that nobody is likely to be armed in these areas.
Unfortunately history has shown us time and time again that oppressive leaders disarm their populations before subjecting them to horrific abuses of their power. We aren't falling for it again.
And before anyone says "what about the stabbings", our per capita stabbings are about half the US!
Your other freedoms are breath away from being all gone.
When people say freedom in the US it tends to be people free to be assholes to their fellow countrymen.
Edit: I have freedom from not being shot in the face in Costco too! That's my favourite freedom.
And why was my colleague fired? Surely his speech was protected?
From the Verge[1]: Section 127 of the Communications Act makes it an offense to send public messages of a “grossly offensive or of an indecent, obscene or menacing character,”
[1] https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/7/22912054/uk-grossly-offens...
You think that's ok? One of them for reference:
"kill yourself before I do; rape is the last of your worries; I’ve just got out of prison and would happily do more time to see you berried.”
Do I think offensive, nasty, hateful speech is free speech? Absolutely.
Here's an example of one that I think is an egregious violation of the principle of free speech: https://www.theverge.com/2022/3/31/23004339/uk-twitter-user-...
Any absolutist position is a problem. This is fairly balanced and the outcome is proportionate.
We are not granted rights by the Government. We have natural rights and they are not to be infringed by the Government. That's how our Constitution is supposed to work and that's why we left England in the first place.
But the fact is, the question of whether speech is or is not allowed is far too often a matter of commercial viability rather than objective political value. Look no further than Kanye West being “cancelled” only after a long history of racism and idiotic remarks. The profitability of his Yeezy shoes bought him a lot more free speech than you or I would ever be granted.
Couple that with the fact that healthcare is usually at the mercy of your employer, and very few people in the U.S. truly have the liberty to say what they really think. And before you say there’s nothing worth saying which you would be fired for, ask yourself how long you could maintain good graces if you were known to be promoting unionization.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Threatening_the_president_of...
Well did he sue? That's the only way he can get the government involved and see if his speech is protected or not.
Edit: Do the down voters have problems understanding basic logic? The government can't protect anybody's free speech if they haven't been informed about a potential violation. I know most hackers think that the government is God, but they are neither all-seeing nor all-knowing. If you get fired in a way that violates your freedom of speech or violates labour rights, you have to sue and at least get the government involved before you complain about not having any rights.
So did he or she sue?
You could go to jail in the US for a myriad of things that aren't even crimes in the UK. Public urination, for instance. And the US incarceration rate is 4x that of the UK.
Not sure which country is more "free".
I feel like most of us want to live in societies with freedom of speech and low homicide rates, and don't feel it has to be one or the other.
https://archives.fbi.gov/archives/oklahomacity/press-release...
Because for quite a few people in the US they don't have as much freedom as you might think.
The US has one of the highest prison population per capita in the world. It also arguably has some of the most heavily armed, most unchecked, police forces in the western hemisphere. And here we are, with some arguing that saying nazi shit on Twitter is "proof of freedom".
Or is just hardware?
I could also mention that London, which is comparably racially diverse to many major US cities, has far less gun violence than any of them.
The EU has a uniform gun regulation zone, the UK has even enforcement, Australia didn't "ban guns" it simply made a few low population territories and states adopt the same regulations as other high population states had; 12 year olds can join gun clubs, every sale requires a registered seller and and a background check for the buyer, contractors can get semi automatics for feral pig culling, my neighbour here has an arsenal of weapons for shooting at all distances out to 5,000+ yards (yes, ULR five thousand yard shooting is a thing here).
The USofA isn't at all united wrt gun regulation.
Twue patriots seem to love moving weapons across state lines and arming conflict areas for profit, no real readily accessed central database, tip toeing around removing weapons from domestic violence offenders who can readily replace what, if anything, is taken.
Australia once held the world record for victims of a single mass shooter - we've had nothing remotely like that since uniform regulation and enforcement.
I would (no sarcasm) love a link to any resources you know of that catalogue or chronicle the role of private arms in preserving liberal democracy. Big bonus if the resources are, or lean, academic.
The Politics in this one are just too strong to sway anyone at all, regardless of what the argument is. You prove their point entirely.
e.g.
> I will advocate for armed guards at schools to help dissuade would-be shooters from attempting anything. I would also advocate for the abolition of "Gun-Free Zones" as they only advertise to criminals that nobody is likely to be armed in these areas.
That seems logical to me. Who will adhere to Gun-Free Zones? Only law abiding citizens. The murderers will walk in there with a gun or a machete and do their thing knowing there won't be anyone equipped to effectively stop them.
Yes, the population at large will politicize these issues, but in the context of this discussion here on HN, why not try to be better and avoid politics as much as possible. Instead, discuss on the basis of logic and facts. I think HN in general, does this better than other online forums (e.g. Reddit). Not perfect of course, but better.
That you right off the bat accuse the GP of being political for expressing a viewpoint and supporting their arguments with logic and facts inhibits open discussion and ironically is a catalyst for politicization of the issue.
On a thread that was supposed to be about how guns are so political that no one will ever change their minds.
That was my point. I don't care if they argued with logic.
They were making the point for op by just entirely skipping past the original argument (gun is political and no one is changing their minds) to talk about their stance on guns.
That was my point. I think maybe you missed it?
"pictures of dead kids wouldn't change their minds" does not necessarily fit the definition of political encampment. If they won't change their mind because it would go against their party's line then they are being political. If they won't change their mind because they believe their stance is correct (based on logic, facts, morality, etc) and/or the other alternatives are wrong (based on logic, facts, morality, etc) then that is not political.
I guess your saw encampment in the GP's comment? I didn't.
This isn’t true though. Guns are used to shoot people because they are available, not because they are legal.
In the UK it is still possible to acquire guns illegally, but they are rare and difficult to come by. There were only 28 homicides from shootings last year.
If you just make it a lot more difficult to acquire a weapon the shootings disappear.
It's fairly easy for Italian citizens to obtain a gun (they need permits just like US), yet their mean death rate from mass shootings is one of the lowest, (lower than UK's) [1]
The problem with changing US gun culture is, right or wrong, the Second Amendment has been literally foundational to our history and culture.
If people disagree with the second Amendment, then it needs to revoked or changed. Until then, it's the law of the land. Changing the second Amendment won't happen. There isn't enough support for that in this country. A half-solution of restricting guns ties the hands of the good guys and empowers the bad guys.
[1] https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/mass-shoo...
I own eight firearms, including a semi-auto centerfire rifle and autoloading shotgun. None of them would be banned under the original terms of the FAWB. My Second Amendment rights would perfectly intact if we brought it back, even if we omitted the grandfather clause.
I guess there's always a world where we bring it back and criminals 3D print high capacity mags for Model 740s but we have to start somewhere.
doesn't imply
disarm their populations -> oppressive leaders
I can think of 2 oppressive leaders who tried to disarm but I know of dozens of democratic countries that disarmed their population without any abuse.
Oppressive leaders have historically used armed paramilitary guerrillas in order to topple legitimate governments and establish brutal dictatorships, so what is your point here?
Also, various US governments, at several levels, have demonstrated over and over again that they don't fear armed civilians at all, e.g. the 1985 MOVE bombing [0]
You've (collectively) already fallen for it by allowing the government to develop a standing army (and not just any standing army, but possibly the most capable in the world of crushing any dissent even if it happens halfway across the globe).
As James Madison put it in 1787, "A standing military force, with an overgrown Executive will not long be safe companions to liberty." Or Samuel Adams called it, "always dangerous to the Liberties of the People."
https://teachinghistory.org/history-content/ask-a-historian/...
The military is a non-factor in this, for a lot of reasons. Here are a few:
- What percentage of our armed forces will take their oath to the constitution (not the government) seriously, and will desert/change sides when asked to murder their own people? I expect a lot, but even if zero of them bailed, that's the least of the issues with trying to fight your own citizens...
- What good is all of that military hardware against yourself? Tanks, jets, drones, missiles... sure, you can turn major cities to glass but then what the hell do you even rule over? The US military is great at crushing dissent across the globe because the collateral damage has been deemed acceptable (by us, because we're not THERE). If you start doing any of that shit here, public sentiment will turn on you fast and you'll make millions of domestic enemies instantly.
- The US has 400 million people (ish) and just as many guns (again, ish). The US military is like 2 million, including reserves. Say 90% of people refuse to fight, well that still makes it 40 million vs 2 million. Those odds SUCK. And that's without anyone refusing orders and bailing to the other side (bring some of the hardware with ya!).
- This wouldn't be a traditional war, it would look like all the wars (ahem, military actions) that the US lost and continues to lose. Vietnam. Afghanistan. Our military keeps taking an L to dudes with 40 year old surplus rifles and busted Toyota trucks. Because that style of warfare is asymmetric and HARD to do without creating new enemies at every turn.
There is no version of a civil war that ends well for an established US government trying to subjugate its people BECAUSE of the 2nd amendment. Either rule over piles of glowing, radioactive rubble, or face the reality that it's open season on anything in a uniform and you're outnumbered 200:1 BUT you don't even know who you're fighting until you're already getting shot at. That's the intent of the 2nd, the US military doesn't actually pose a threat to its people because it simply can't win.
That being said... the US government knows all of this, and is just boiling the frog instead. Small oversteps over a long period of time add up to some real nonsense, and I'm not sure your average American has the balls to stand up, say "enough is enough", and push back. Old us threw the damn tea into the ocean (in front of the bastards!), current us will go on an angry rant on X while ordering Doordash. There will be more governmental overreach, there will be more boiling the frog, and who knows how it'll end. But the US military isn't remotely a factor.
>In fact, murder is illegal in this country, as is assault and brandishing firearms. These laws don't stop insane people from using weapons to murder people.
This is exactly the point. Ease of access to firearms for people who are unhinged is a problem. We aren't typically talking about criminals btw. We are talking about mass murderers. It is a very meaningful distinction.
Armed guards at elementary schools is insane. What about churches? Grocery stores? Music venues? Do we need heavily armed guards in every public place in society? This will heal our increasingly fractured society? Are militarized police forces (that are still scared to go in after active shooters) not enough for you?
>Researchers at JAMA Network Open found that of 133 incidents of K-12 school shootings from 1980 to 2019, 1 in 4 had an armed guard on scene. Moreover, researchers found the presence of armed guards failed to result in fewer casualties, instead noting a death rate 2.83 times greater in school shootings with armed personnel...
>the data suggest no association between having an armed officer and deterrence of violence in these cases. An armed officer on the scene was the number one factor associated with increased casualties after the perpetrators’ use of assault rifles or submachine guns. [1]
[1] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle...
If the Government decides you are a threat, they will take you down. Some overweight Sunday warrior with an assault rifle is not going to save us from tyranny. The way you protect the country against that is to promote democracy and vote for people who aren't trying to overthrow the Government if they lose an election.
Hard to say. Maybe not overnight, but it can slowly move the needle.
While on call, his house alarm goes off, so he grabs his shotgun out of the safe and goes to find out what is happening.
We, on the call, waiting for him to come back, heard three distinct gunshots.
Turns out some guy, high on some substance was trying to break into the house, and opened fire when our friend showed up at the door.
This is to my limited understanding, a "strong gun control" state. So from our perspective, it looks like you must have a gun to be safe; that the law does not help.
And this is after California banned body armour, which he was complaining about.
I currently live in Florida. Where I am, if you've got a clean background, it's very easy to buy a handgun or shotgun.
Several others (PA for example) split on type of fire-arm (long-guns = no check, handguns = check required, or similar).
Several others put the onus of coordinating through an FFL on the seller, the buyer just has to show up (though that does end up requiring a background check).
So, I'll stand by "most" (though it's admittedly fewer states than I thought - I would have guessed ~35 had no limits).
https://www.politico.eu/article/sweden-new-normal-bomb-attac...
If (ugh, when) the next school shooting happens, the pictures of 8 year olds’ half blown away faces would turn the collective public guts inside out.
Americans are _very_ good at burying their heads in the sand. It’s only when you force them, Clockwork Orange style, to confront what they’ve made, they actually start to change their opinions.
One thing I notice is how quick people are to ascribe malevolence to those on the right. Meanwhile, leftist prosecutors and DAs who make it a policy point of their election to not prosecute crimes or to not protest paroles, or leftist governors who say they are going to release prisoners and then do, never face any accusations of malevolence, when those same people go on to kill.
To use my own city of Portland as an example, we've had multiple instances of children being killed or endangered by people released with violent tendencies or let out without bail. We've had several incidents of gun crime committed by people just released from jail. Yet, when you point out that the right-wing pro-gun crowd is not the ones at fault in Oregon, since we have copious gun laws, and the main issue seems to be the left-wing that has held power in our cities and state for decades at this point, everyone immediately starts group therapy in which they re-assure themselves that the elected official's hearts were really in the right place, despite all evidence to the contrary.
But I somewhat agree with you. There is a huge disinformation campaign to stop US supporting Israel. Iran/Russia and the rest are working extra hard to isolate Israel and then to be completely overrun by its enemies around. It's similar to the same campaign Russia was spreading to stop NATO involvement in Ukraine-Russia war.
And it's US weapons used all over the globe in bloody conflicts.(others here have already put paid to the myth of Israeli dependence on usa military aid as a proportion of Israeli military spending.)
And US violates its own law in donating this huge pile of murder weapons to this occupying party: Section 502B(a)(2) (22 U.S.C. 2304(a)(2)) stipulates that "no security assistance may be provided to any country the government of which engages in a consistent pattern of gross violations of internationally recognized human rights." https://sgp.fas.org/crs/weapons/IF11197.pdf
B'tSalem/HRW/Amnesty have voluminous records of the said violations.
This fake rhetorical caring about "children being killed in Syria and Yemen wars and currently in Sudan" just do drum up argument for killing of Palestinian children is kinda distasteful.
Not all agendas are created equal. Some positions on issues are obviously existential essential: economic inequality, pollution, climate change, legal system reform, policing reform, and healthcare costs. There are many other issues that are lower priority than existential threats that are debatable. And finally there are partisan cause célèbres that largely amount to bikeshedding. It's when those who benefit from espousing a particular issue position deny reality and legitimacy of an existential threat or suffering of a group makes them intellectually dishonest and morally bankrupt.
Thus we do disagreeable things, but we are defensive. That, I think, is still fair. We do disagreeable things so that ordinary people here and elsewhere can sleep safely in their beds at night. Is that too romantic? Of course, we occasionally do very wicked things"; he grinned like a schoolboy. "And in weighing up the moralities, we rather go in for dishonest comparisons; after all, you can't compare the ideals of one side with the methods of the other, can you, now?
We should examine the methods used by all sides in the conflicts, as one topic, and their ideals as another topic.
I doubt many would doubt a school shooting did kill children, maybe some would but not the majority. In this case I can see how sharing the pictures of dead children could produce manipulative outputs (regardless of intent), especially since few to no people doubt their deaths
Whereas when it comes to wars overseas, and one side is downplaying or downright denying the death of children, then here I think it's vital to examine the pictures
Political solution would have costs to Israel. So does war/oppression/occupation.
Political solution did not just fell through, it was actively rejected by Israel time and time again. Israel basically invited the attack. In no world can you expect violently oppressed people to never eventually violently fight back. Israel's government just thought that it would always be able to control this with force, with just a victim here or there. It was mistaken.
I still prefer Israel to go back to political solution, and away from "annihilation" solution.
That said the evil, greed, and/or anger of our leaders ensures wars will always be around. But I don't have to participate in them. In the face of an equal force, I'm happy to stand my ground. In the face of an overwhelming force, I am not too proud to flee.
Please?
You see it all the time, "40 dead children, how could they do this? these are just innocent kids!". What? And those 40 adults weren't innocent?
* Some sources say 18
1. https://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/29/world/obamas-leadership-i...
2. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/05/under-o...
I might sound crude, but in the modern era, this is the only way to be effective. Otherwise, we would easily be swayed by the news of a white girl stuck in a well while we can easily swipe away news about hundreds of dead people from war torn zones.
Want to know how well public air-raid bunkers work against advanced bombing technology? Check: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amiriyah_shelter_bombing and that's 30 year old tech.
This question is one of the talking points of the Pro-Israel side. It's not that bizarre. But yeah, as talking points go, it's shallow/simplistic. The idea is to demonstrate that Hamas couldn't care less about Palestinian lives. They don't invest in any shape or form in protecting the citizenry or making the lives of Palestinians better. It's also meant to contrast with how Israel invests in protecting its population- lots of shelters for a much larger population, Israel has been building shelters in various forms forever. During most of the cold war Israel has been facing enemies with fairly unlimited resources as well, rockets, ballistic missiles, large air forces, even artillery (the north of Israel used to be regularly shelled by Syria way back). So it is actually possible to use shelters as a layer of defense.
Israel's more recent strategy of reinforced spaces in every house/apartment (started IIRC when Saddam Hussein decide to lob Scud missiles at Israel) has worked fairly well so that could be replicated in Gaza. Israeli buildings have taken direct hits by rockets from Lebanon and Gaza with pretty decent survival rates even when the building itself was practically demolished. Though that might require using the concrete for something else than tunnels. Oh no, another talking point.
The better strategy though is not to get into a situation where you're being attacked with bunker busters or try to separate civilian infrastructure from military infrastructure. Other ideas is that when you're warned about an area becoming a subject to aerial bombardments you move away. Sorry, more talking points.
Jordan 3,240,000
Syria 630,000
Lebanon 402,582
Saudi Arabia 280,245
Egypt 270,245
Qatar 100,000
Kuwait 80,000
Iraq 57,000
Yemen 55,000* I say "these folks" because I don't know that I agree.
Fixed it for you.
Why, for instance, the author didn't start the story from children killed on oct 7 and jumped right away to following steps of that nightmare?
Etc.
It's 2023 and the world is still in a state of constant conflict - Jokes aside American has positioned itself as the world police with the largest military ever conceived.
Funding militant groups when it serves your goals, destabilising nations. Invading nations on the flimsiest of premises. Etc.
Huge portions of popular westeen media portrays the American military action as heroic.
But how do Americans actually feel about it? And how do you think the rest of us feel?
Or at the very least open up Pandora's box.
If it was good for business to show dead children who have been shot, wed see more.
Definitely no agenda here. Why not also show images of dead palistine children and homeowners who died during home invasions with nothing to protect themselves?
Large parts of the USA cannot empathise with their own dead children in their own school shootings. Not because they don't have empathy, because its been shaped to not allow any kind of dissent from "accepted"(accepted by which team you support) view points.
There are almost no uniting subjects for the USA anymore.
It is far to profitable to seek division than unity for almost anything, be that guns, health, education, the constitution, the supreme court, equality, civil rights.
the Democrats are incompetent, and the GOP has ceased to be a political organisation.
They're reasonably competent when undermining progressives, feathering their nests, and holding on to power.
whats the point of failing to pass a bill that will alienate moderate swing voters loosing you seats in the next election. when you can pass bills that get you some of what you want now and more the next and after each election.
What's "it"?
I was charitably trying not to interpret the comment this way, because the rest of the comment rants about how there is too much division. It seems absurd to me to suggest that showing dead bodies will unite people. In practice it seems to do exactly the opposite.
The media is literally fueling anti semitic sentiments. They are disgustingly complicit in what’s going to inevitably happen to Jews across the world
I’m somewhat cynical about a lot of journalism today simply because it feels like a large cohort of that profession has just gotten trapped in a social-media-attention fueled circle of journalists just doing things to generate praise from other journalists. Interestingly, this pattern seems to be independent of the politics of the involved individuals or venues: they all do it.
I’m not sure how useful it is to the consumers of the journalism: it’s not like anyone is unaware of what’s going on. If anything, most of us are resigned to the fact that we can’t really do much about it other than be angry and frustrated, since people from all kinds of different places and with different motivations just get in the way.
I love big brain responses.
Harsh reactions with consequences result every time the press print things. Adding dead children weaponsises this as the final taboo push.
It takes one mistake, one misquoted image or one manipulation and there's just going to be more dead children.
Edit: to clarify I am NOT against publishing these things. Just now is a really bad time due to rife misinformation and poor journalism. All it does is inflame already terrible situations for people all over the world. Its divisive and dangerous.
All of which is very convenient to ignoring the issue.
I don't either. But I think it gets worse by not showing the reality.
This topic is breaking my soul. So much suffering and death. Why?
Ungh. I need to watch Firefly and drink.
It's a disaster zone.
Because social media manipulation will never stop, I'm afraid.
But before the algorithm changes discussions were actually sane.