Luckily we have the control-group of Sweden, that spent a large part of the pandemic proclaiming that not closing schools was going to have a fantastic positive effect on children's learning.
The actual result: Sweden's PISA results declined much more steeply than countries who used distance-learning during the pandemic.
Those things don't necessarily have any relation, but clearly many countries with strict CoVID responses are still doing well in education.
In other words: remote schooling may have had a negative effect on ACT scores, but all evidence points to it not being the only (or even primary) effect.
Car crashes and ATC mistakes are two different sets of data. Just because they are going up or down at the same time and you can overlay some other event on top of it means absolutely nothing on its own.
There are a lot more reasons that car crash rates can be getting worse. For one thing, they have been trending upwards since smartphones have become prevalent. Car crashes weren't trending down for some time before covid-19. Also, the number of screens installed on automobile dashboards is increasing every year.
Still, I won't automatically assign blame to smartphones or automotive screens unless someone at least attempting to use the scientific method weighs in on the subject, because our intuitions about statistics are often really, really wrong.
The crash avoidance systen was a distracting alert that took my attention away from the road for none risks but instead increased there likelyhood to become a risk.
Glad to get my own car back with physical switches and dials without all this crap, having to operate a tablet behind the wheel is a dumb idea and no different to operating a smart phone behind the wheel.
A good time to dust off this classic:
This looks more like refusing to ever entertain the idea that letting COVID rip was a bad idea and lockdowns and vaccinations and masks were justified because you don't like it, than actual scientific rigor.
As always, vaccinated or not, the best thing you can do for yourself is avoid getting infected in the first place.
People’s tolerance levels and general concern for other humans plummeted in the post covid times. The warning signs about acceptable behaviour in supermarkets, medical practices and restaurants proliferated. I don’t know how you measure that effect though.
As I mentioned in another post, you can check this theory against the pandemic control-group that kept schools open:
https://www.thelocal.se/20231205/swedish-students-maths-and-...
* School closures during the Covid-19 pandemic were one factor behind the unprecedented decrease across the OECD.
* The general decline also began before the pandemic.
* Immigration was quite probably a factor.
Even without getting in to the details.
I remember taking the ACT many years ago and it was definitely much easier. Also not many colleges accepted it at the time. SAT was preferred.
And that's still true.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:SAT-ACT-Preference-Map....
This should be reasonable proof that the test doesn't test things very well, IMHO, because there are so many factors that go into getting a good score.
I was one of these people -- I got one point below perfect on ACT, but the morning of my SAT, I got into an argument with my mom and got a below-average score.
These factors limit me from tending towards ‘reasonable proof’ on its face when considering the system as a whole.
Yep, I don't disagree! I happened to get scores that converted to each other exactly according, but overall I think it was good advice to try to use the system to our advantage rather than treat it as some sort of objective measurement.
I don't even know how to properly deconstruct how irresponsible this style of thinking is, it's just so flabbergasting.
In science you can't just draw lines on the wall between random shit like you're Charlie Day in It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia.
ACT scores are very obviously not a product of your raw brain power as an isolated variable, they include a number of other factors like how much sleep you got last night, your family life, the quality of your curriculum and teachers, your socioeconomic status of yourself and your peers, and, of course, whether you spent a year in a global pandemic emergency while your school district scrambled to switch to a fully online curriculum with zero notice.
There is a very well-documented labor shortage for air traffic controllers. Fewer people are covering the same shifts - that is fact. If we are going to ignore the scientific method and start pointing fingers, this is so much more obviously the type of thing to start scapegoating.
> This might be the worst real example of a jump to conclusions based on a casual correlation I have seen in my entire life. I don't even know how to properly deconstruct how irresponsible this style of thinking is, it's just so flabbergasting.
Exactly who is jumping to conclusions in this exchange?
I used the words "potentially concerning" because that is what I thought and intended to express. I could have used words like "causally disastrous" instead, but they weren't what I thought or intended to express. I am also not smuggling in such a claim in a "just asking questions" sort of way. I think the potential exists, should be studied, and shouldn't be reflexively admitted or dismissed until studied. That's all.
Please respond to what people actually say, and ask questions if what they said wasn't clear to you.
The word “potentially” is the lone word that makes any attempt to pump the brakes.
Not necessarily related to the increasing number of air traffic controls incidents, though.
The latest PISA scores arrived just last week or so and do not support this.
There is a very weak negative correlation between number school closure days and drop in PISA scores, at least in Western European countries. The higher the number of school closure days, the less the results dropped. But the correlation is so weak that it's basically just noise.
Scores dropped pretty much everywhere so the pandemic probably had an effect, but the data does not support school closures (or at least its duration) of being the primary culprit.
I do not have a good English language source to point to (but the raw data is easy to find).
The Thiotimoline of vaccines.
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Historical_Average_A...
Otherwise, as pointed out by lostlogin, mRNA vaccines have been used in humans since 2013 and studied in animals since 1989 which makes them less novel than widely claimed.
Since vaccine testing requires giving half your study population a placebo and then waiting for them to get sick. Bit cruel really.