Hacker News Reader

Yes. Timeline:

* Russia wins within the next year and divides East and West Ukraine

* West Ukraine joins NATO, powder keg is set

* Massive arms buildups like we have never seen in history on both sides

* Within 5 years, Russia attacks West Ukraine, China attacks Taiwan, and it's on

Except that Russian officials up and down the flagpole - including the head honcho just this week - have very clearly and publicly said they'd rather that Poland, Romania and Hungary split up the Western half, and deal with the rebellious Galicians than them.

They don't want the headache and would be rather content to stop their efforts at Kharkhiv-Odessa line (if that's even possible to achieve for them, of course).

If I recall correctly they attacked and tried to surround Kyiv.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com