Are you saying that the number of existing quiz/flashcard sites would create a research result that would discourage attempting another one? It seems like you knew while you were building Quizlet that you had something different in mind, so the only unknown was whether people would use it en masse. As it turns out, you were right, but, and this is a sincere question, was this vision or luck?
Isn't it more accurate to say that the art lies in knowing what questions to ask the oracle, and how to ask those questions, rather than ignoring the value of prophecy?