If you go back even further I'd imagine this trend would continue - even Gladwell's main example (Ryan Leaf) was taken second to the best QB playing today (Manning).
If you go back even further I'd imagine this trend would continue - even Gladwell's main example (Ryan Leaf) was taken second to the best QB playing today (Manning).
2003: romo 2004: roethlisburger 2006: cutler 2007/2008: way too early
Historically speaking: steve young, montana, marino, and I could go on were not thought of highly by scouts
I thought it was commonly accepted that scouting QBs is a guessing game.
Professional football teams have an extreme financial incentive to accurately predict an athlete's potential. They have a sizable data set to examine, and a lot of money to spend, but there have still been some very notable failures.
Our education system does not have the resources of the NFL to determine who will be a good teacher. But even if they did, it would be a misappropriation of funds. Instead of focusing on pre-facto credentials (graduate degrees, etc.), we should put them in the mix and see how they perform, and pay the best teachers accordingly.
These seem like the most salient points from the article, and I don't think any of them are particularly false or oversimplified. If you know a lot about something and the article is for a general audience, it's bound to seem like a bunch of outright lies. Life is never as elegant as the New Yorker makes it seem, but that doesn't mean it's not entertaining (and sometimes informative) to read.
Thanks for trying to get us back on point ;)