China Set to Lose 60 Percent of Population by Century's End

On the one hand, I found Zeihan to be hilariously wrong about details I am familiar with, such as calling all flat-top helicopter carriers "jump carriers." This video examining Zeihan's central claims regarding China found that most of them need some serious qualification (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XupM5_zHDbM). Here's a Reddit thread discussing many more instances of factual errors (https://old.reddit.com/r/geopolitics/comments/hv46xb/what_ar...).

On the other hand, who cares whether the USS America has a ski jump? It still can launch the F-35. Do we miss the forest for the trees with such details? Before listening to Zeihan, I had no idea about how serious China's demographic time bomb was. It help's that he's super entertaining; a gifted story teller.

Do small factual errors add up to being wrong about the big picture? Or is a disregard for details a great means to filter the signal from the noise?

Reddit's verdict: "You know those early paleontologists who took actual dinosaur bones and made dinosaur skeletons that were sometimes accurate and sometimes batshit? He's like that but with geopolitics."

They wouldn't do that would they.