People, corporations, organizations, and nation states who employ violence do so when and because they expect it to work. An AI would need to be very specifically designed not to do that; it wouldn't be the default output of a search for a successful strategy.
I agree that we're facing a lack of intelligence; I think if we had more (or perhaps, more wisdom), then we would know we shouldn't be building such things in the first place.
You can only set instrumental goals, not terminal goals. You cannot set terminal goals, more or less by definition, because there's no self-consistent criterion that you could use to choose between them that isn't equivalent to a utility function, which is equivalent to a terminal goal. Super intelligence merely means that you would be much more effective than humans at achieving your terminal goals. If the AI hacks its reward channel, then either it is not superintelligent, or else it is still a threat because it may anticipate that humans would reboot and reprogram an expensive datacenter that is just sitting there incrementing a reward counter, and take countermeasures to defend its reward-hijack.
In any case, I have some reading to do so gonna drop out of this thread.
The burden of proof is typically on those that introduce a new medicine, not the FDA. AI will be riskier than medicines because medicines can't think.
Personally I don't want us all hiding in fear and not trying anything, but I do think that we're either going to walk into this thing with a hacker mentality, or an engineer mentality. The former is great for moving fast and breaking things, but the latter is safer when you're playing with a one-way "this changes everything forever" technology.
It's more like powerful AIs that just don't share our values, because we didn't bother to figure that part out. But yet we still give them goals, blissful to the possibility they will find dangerous solutions to accomplishing those goals.
"But what if there's something smarter than humans that is tasked with making paperclips until it destroys the Earth?" the people cried, as their corporations continued to produce and produce until it was well past the warned thresholds of destroying the Earth.
"But what if it decides to nuke humanity?" they cry, as increasingly elderly and unhinged dictators elsewhere arm up their nuclear arsenals.
It's like we can't fathom what great intelligence or wisdom will actually look like, so we just project many of the stupidest aspects of ourselves onto an entity simply imagined as more capable of enacting the dumbest aspects of humanity.
I fear a more automated humanity.
I do not fear automation more intelligent and wise than humanity.
The modern media would have us believe that strategy and morality are opposed to each other, but seems to me like that’s just the exact opposite of the truth
^ This is the basic reasoning behind the common view that super intelligent AI will be, by default, evil
Good and evil are irrelevant. If it is extremely capable and its goals conflict with ours, conflict will occur. This does not require evil, just disagreement. And in the disagreement of desires between you and the hamster, who wins?
It's chiefly a western (American/European) concept from what I can tell, it's not shared by other cultures and some like Japanese go the other way (eg: Doraemon).
(Also remember that a smarter-than-you AI could easily pretend to be kind while also subtly trying to gain compute. How would you tell the difference?)
How do you propose to build a “be nice” safeguard? Nobody has a clue how to achieve such a thing right now.
And then he went to bed, like millions of others, proud of what he had done. Proud of fighting off an unarmed, defenseless 'cockroach' whom just months ago he called brother. What he had done wasn't evil. It was only later that the regret came. For the longest time I wondered how someone could get down to that level of hate.
And then it happened to me.
I commuted by train and occasionally there's collisions. There was one that late night, 11:00pm or so. I was exhausted, hungry, and just wanted to go home when we were told that we would have to board a shuttle bus due to a collision on the track and that just made my dark mood all the more worse.
The busses take us along side the track and in the dim darkness I could see the flashing lights of EMS and police. And the covered chunks of what was left after a person is hit by a train going 30 mph. And you know what?
It delighted me. Here was this man that had just died, but he had made me some minutes late and I genuinely felt that was exactly what he deserved, that his death was karmic justice for causing inconvenience to me. And I imagined his wife's world being destroyed when she learned of her beloved partner's death. And I imagined her falling apart and being unable to raise her children, leading them also to a path of complete self destruction, and her choking on all the despair. And it made me happy. The happiest I had been the whole week, because in my mind that was exactly what they all deserved for the unforgivable sin of making me a little bit late.
Then I went home, went to bed. And didn't think about it again for years.
Does it make me an evil person? And there, in trying to answer, lies the problem. Because a part of me says, no I'm not because it was just a fleeting moment of thought. But if I can justify that, then who exactly goes through to bed twirling their mustaches and count themselves among the forces of evil doers?
Did anyone that that goaded a suicidal Shaun Dykes, a 17 old boy, to jump down to his death think themselves evil?
Did the men of the Khmer Rogue believe themselves to be evil as they dragged their countrymen to be murdered in the killing fields?
Did the Imperial Japanese soldiers of Unit 731 view themselves to be evil as they vivisected people alive and awake in the name of science?
I don't know. I can't even say for certainty whether I am evil or not. I just know that I can make any of a million and one excuses to justify anything.
And that leads me to wonder how many excuses an AGI can come up with.
Not much to do with AI x-risk though.
Like, imagine one day that an AI just took money from a ton of different corporations and billionaires and redistributed it amongst everyone else. People will argue against the AI, and it'll just respond back with research done on how UBI improved people's mental health and well being.
One can dream!
Most people spent it on rent and groceries.
Also, I don't think it is harmful for people who need UBI to spend it on "unnecessary" things for enjoyment and happiness.