Why does a private hospital's ER capacity dictate my ability to freely move about?
I was in a blue state that issued a strongly worded stay at home recommendation, but no "lockdown" with legal force. It worked great, owing in part to still having some sense of social cohesion. When your society can't get through novel disruptions with leadership informally keeping most everybody on the same page, that's what you should be worried about.
[0] https://www.dallasnews.com/arts-entertainment/state-fair/202...