Those seem like really bad numbers to me, considering the base rate fallacy. Most of what people test with something like that is probably not going to be AI-generated, which could mean getting massive numbers of false positives.
But a lot of propaganda is going to take place at the grassroots level by actors who can’t beat OpenAI, even one in decline, at breaking both watermarks and an adversarial model.
But the grand finale is of course, at this point how has OpenAI behaved like anything other than an APT itself. It’s the friendly, plucky underdog charity that’s now manipulating the process on making things illegal without involving congress.
That’s exactly how advanced actors operate: look at the xz thing.