Tesla's Musk predicts AI will be smarter than the smartest human next year

They’re also better than most of us at creating art (rhymes, poetry, digital paintings, etc) that falls into existing clearly defined patterns.

But when it comes to deep creative thinking, inferring new knowledge and very long chains of logical reasoning, I’m not convinced they’re actually anywhere near human intelligence yet.

I think we’re missing a key algorithm for true general intelligence.

I suspect this algorithm will involve a feedback mechanism that will be incredibly hard to tune and get exactly right. We already see that the relatively simple LLMs we have today can go “crazy” fairly easily if the parameters aren’t tuned quite right. This will get exponentially harder if the AI is undergoing constant self-modification.

It’s possible that “AI psychologist” will become a common profession in the future, and I suspect it won’t be significantly easier to make progress in that field than it has been for humans.

Not true. Most humans can learn driving in under a week. How many AI models today can learn driving in under a week, just like a human? None. Until it can, AIs are not smarter than humans.