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Comment by Version467 | Hacker News Reader

Hollywood has incredible financial and political power. And even if fully AI generated movies reach the same quality (both visually and story wise) as current ones, there’s a lot of value in the shared experience of watching the same movies as other people, that a complete collapse of the industry seems highly unlikely to me.

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What quality? Current industry movies are, for lack of better term, inbred. Sound too loud, washed out rigid color scheme, keeping attention of the audience captive at all costs. They already exclude large, more sensitive, part of population that hates all of this despite the shared experience. And AI is exceptionally good at further inbreeding to the extreme.

While of course it isn't impossible for any industry to reinvent itself, movie as an art form won't die....having doubts about where it's going.

> that a complete collapse of the industry seems highly unlikely to me.

Unlikely in the next 10 years or the next 100?

I wouldn’t have any confidence in any predictions I make 100 years into the future even if we didn’t have the current AI developments.

With that said, I’m pretty confident that the movie industry will exist in 10 years (maybe heavily tranformed, but still existing and still pretty big). If it’s still a big part of current popculture by then (vs obviously on its way out) then I’d expect a collapse of it to require a change that is not a result of AI proliferation, but something else entirely.

My point is that many talk about AI as though it's not going to evolve or get better. It's a mindset of "We don't need to talk about this because it won't happen tomorrow".

Realistically, AI being able to replace Hollywood is something that could happen in 20-50 years. That's within most people's lifetime.

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