The argument is pretty simple: people have been claiming the sky is falling for millennia and it still hasn't happened. It probably won't happen soon.
I make no comment on the dangers of AI.
> Conclusion: I Genuinely Don’t Know What These People Are Thinking
Two things can be true at the same time (and are always true of 100's of aspects of modern life):
1. A devastating possibility is in theory possible, the likelihood of it happening is non-zero.
2. We can't live and make decisions catastrophizing given _we have absolutely no understanding_ about the real likelihood.
Is the coffee example a good argument? Of course not! But do we know the likelihood of humanity's ability to create super intelligence AND that that intelligence will cause unimaginable suffering? Uh I don't think so?
I take issue with this notion that microscopic chain reactions could lead to billions of deaths.
There is no evidence that AI will magically learn how to control the world's factories and turn us all into paperclips.
Social media is a bunch of registers being added to, doesn’t mean it doesn’t have insanely impactful effects to the real world.