> The problem they solve is that almost nobody uses a password manager.
Numbers pulled from Google seem to suggest 1/3 or so, which probably varies a lot across the world. But that’s not too bad given it’s never really been shoved down users' throats. They’ve been pushed pretty hard in PC magazines and media. They’re not entirely obscure.
> For people using password manager implementations, passkeys also add a layer of protection by being practically unphishable.
True, but it’s still some protection: auto-fill won’t work on a different domain so phishing is harder. However, note that many legit sites, even payment gateways etc, use multiple strange-looking domains sometimes. This is beyond irresponsible imo, and the clear fault of the service provider.
> If passkeys are implemented well, using hardware encrypted storage, you also never risk a copy of your passwords falling into the wrong hands[…]
This is only theoretically true. Regular people aren’t able to provision and secure multiple auth devices in case of house fire, theft, or loss. What happens in practice is an account recovery flow, usually through email, sms or support, which is prone to all kinds of non-crypto attacks, including phishing.
Per-device passkeys alone are possibly an improvement in convenience but not as a last-resort identity, in practice. From a security POV it’s very similar to pw managers, and so far I like them more because of they’re vendor agnostic. Ideally we’d have pw managers simply manage key material instead of a random pw, when supported by the provider. I already use GitHub this way, with Bitwarden.