I find this sort of trade-off exercise really fascinating.

There are tons of examples of situations where risk is very different depending on how long or how much/often something happens.

It seems like business schools, who train many of the people who ultimately make these decisions, do a "right shit job" of discussing the actual potential outcomes at scale / over long periods of time. Maybe that's intentional; "hey, you'll have a new job by then" and maybe it's not.

The more I think about it, the more I think all this is an example of the Gervais principal at work.