I am a layperson, but it seems to me that scientists are discussing these topics for at least a decade (for example since L'Aquila in 2009): See section 2.2: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.03652
or
https://arxiv.org/abs/0905.2782
or
https://arxiv.org/abs/0905.2782
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Didier_Sornette
made a name for himself a couple of decades ago with an approach to predicting earthquakes, financial crashes and other catastrophes:
Any edits he made that aren't his own page are editing in references to his own work in other articles.