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AlphaGo took us from mediocre engines to outclassing the best human players in the world within a few short years. Ilya contributed to AlphaGo. What makes you so confident this can't happen with token prediction?

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I'm pretty sure Ilya had nothing to do with AlphaGo, which came from DeepMind. He did work for Google Brain for a few years before OpenAI, but that was before Brain and DeepMind merged. The AlphaGo lead was David Silver.

If solving chess already created the Singularity, why do we need token prediction?

Why do we need computers that are better than humans at the game of token prediction?

Because it can be argued that intelligence is just highly sophisticated token prediction?

Anything "can be argued". (Just give me something interesting enough, and I'll show ya.) It could probably also "be argued" that intelligence is an angry cabbage.

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