After decades of doing this I have finally come to my senses and now only engage in arguments of this form where I could add a stage 0: buy leveraged options on my unpopular but obvious observation, and a stage 6: wildly profit from betting against the stubbornness and dismissiveness of such people as I had previously tried to persuade and bring into an equally advantaged perspective with my own.
I increasingly prefer to simply sit out stages 1 through 5 altogether.