There’s no way you can replace competent programmers with ChatGPT. I still have to check the output all the time and it’s often wrong or just doesn’t even know what I’m asking about.
But many people are claiming that chatgpt increases their productivity by 50-100%. Doesn't it mean we need less programmers now?
It's easy to be 50% faster at coding when you spend a lot of time discussing with the LLM before you start coding.
No, it means we are building even more stuff with the same developers.
The limiting factor still is the number of software developers, not the software demand.
What stuff are you building? Everything is falling apart. I can't read without an account most of the sites that were accessible just a year ago: twitter, reddit, youtube etc.
I'm in some B2B business. I don't know a single company where the limiting factor is the roadmap. Everybody is using AI to push even more stuff out.
> Everything is falling apart.
This is an overly dramatic take.
In my experience there is way more work than you can conceivably get done. There is no way the work is running out.
It is indeed helpful. It takes care of lot of mundane statements which I used to type earlier or use macros for. But AI at this point, still cannot write core logic - it will help in creating envelope but core business logic you still have to plugun.
Entertaining the thought that it is indeed the case maybe it would make late projects (IMHO most of them) less late.
my impression is that you can't replace competent programmers with chatGPT, but that hasn't stopped companies from trying (or simply accepting incompetency).
ChatGPT and other AI are useful at generating functions based on patterns of text they've learned, but at the core they have no awareness or intelligence, and never will. You can't trust it.
They only need to learn patterns and apply them contextually to be useful. What they don't have is human lived experience, so we are still necessary to guide it