One hesitates to criticize the great man but, as mmastrac has already pointed out, it's really difficult to parse out a conclusion, especially a straightforward probability estimate.

I was hoping for something like; "The probability of these apparently fake numbers being genuine is in the range 1/1500 to 1/130,000, depending on what other assumptions we make".

Maybe that's impossible in the same way that talking about the improbability of a shuffle revealing some specific series of cards says nothing about the reality of one such sequence after it's revealed.