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That's not quite it though, is it?

It more like, if you run that election 100 million times, it's very likely that these kinds of results would happen only once.

That once could be in the very first time you ran the elections, it could be in the 100 millionth, or anywhere in between.

Yes. That’s what “expected outcome” means.

I was responding to

> You’d need to run that election 100 million times

You don't. It might happen the very first time. It's as probable to happen this time as it is in any of the other 100 million times.