Bitcoin is deflationary in the sense that the supply is fixed at 21 million. And because people also loose access to their Bitcoin wallet, the actual supply will slowly decrease.
That's just a fact of how technology works. It's better phrased as "supply of Bitcoin is fixed".
As to your other arguments: I don't really get the connecting logic or even the point your making.
What is the "spread" that will stop new people from buying Bitcoin?
Can you explain the "Tom got very rich on Bitcoin and therefore I won't buy it today even though the price goes up because reasons..." logic?
Also what does reward halving have to do with the price of Bitcoin? The mining business will eventually end but as long as Bitcoin price goes 2x by each halving, the mining is is just as profitable.
Of course Bitcoin price can collapse. It already did a couple of times. But it also recovered and then some each time.
Given that prices of anything are driven by supply and demand, supply is fixed, the only question worth asking about Bitcoin is: will the demand go up? If demand goes up, the price goes up. And vice versa.