In the Gregorian calendar, January 1 falls on a Saturday in any year that is a multiple of 400. (This follows from any correct day-of-the-week algorithm, such as
https://firstsundaydoomsday.blogspot.com/2009/12/quick-start....) Since each 400-year cycle begins on the same day, rather than balancing out, any imbalances would actually
accumulate.
To check, see this 5-line brute-force calculation in JavaScript: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42024474