$200M a year, 700k tons of rice, space tech: deal for North Korea in joining war
koreaherald.com
koreaherald.com
- Ukraine vs Russia/N. Korea continues. Georgia may be pulled in next.
- Israel vs. Gaza/Iran/Lebanon continues to escalate.
- China vs. Taiwan slowly heats up.
- S. Korea vs. N. Korea/Russia - less likely.
- Ongoing US-Russia cyberwarfare.
Neither US presidential candidate is up to handling this.
Why would China invade Taiwan ?
Can’t they make do with the resources they already have ?
Though it's likely he sees access to resources (lithium, natural gas) as "gravy" on top of these concerns.
Russia is similarly worried about the expansive flatland past the dnipro river.
Of course there are other historical reasons for the invasion and war is always a good way to boost the leaders approval so funny business often happens for little geopolitical reason at all.
Except it's not - its current regime just pretends to be, for internal and external propaganda purposes. Ditto for NATO encroachment. It's just a bogeyman, nothing more.
The sibling comment encapsulates the regime's true motives quite succinctly:
(This in reference to Ukraine; I don't really think too much about Taiwan).
Though now that I do parse the second half of what you're saying - this is completely nuts of course, and just so happens to be nearly identical to Japan's rationale for attacking the US in WW2.
But if you choose to applaud or legitimize this insanity -- that's on you.
The West is losing its influence and the USA is losing its reputation as a reliable partner. An undesirable result of the War in Ukraine will have some severe consequences for the US/EU in the decades to come. A lot of folks are just oblivious to it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Development_Fund_for_Iraq
You have to laugh...
It's a dangerous world out there, and best not to be weak.
I also don't think the US and EU have pure motivations in any of this, particularly the US the EU just seems gullible.. the anti-Russia talk from the politicians is just fodder for the masses so the grift can continue as the actual actions and inactions tell a different story.. send complicated weapons systems ($$$), complicated weapons system doesn't work better start working on some new ones ($$$), oh that's some nice farmland you got there better let our corporations buy it up ($$$).
And Russia's "partners" are a shit country stuck in 1880 (North Korea) and, well, China. China's great at intimidating third world countries, but in reality their support and capabilities are limited. As for India, well, back in the old days India would have taken Eastern Russia, since the Russian armed forces are busy trying not to get killed.
At least China and India seem to have cooled down their border issues.
https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/09/05/the-west-still-n...
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-oil-e...
Why isn't Europe an accomplice?
https://www.newsweek.com/nato-ukraine-membership-progress-do...
Regardless of what ultimately happens in Ukraine, nuclear proliferation is obviously going to accelerate. This is the very real consequence of the international community failing to collectively oppose Russian aggression.
It’s the ultimate card for deterrence. One you have nuclear weapons, no one fucks around.
Russia would have not invaded if Ukraine had nuclear weapons. Period.
US is tip-toeing with Russia because they have nuclear weapons. If they didn’t we’d be raining missiles on them like we did Iraq.
Iran will get nuclear missiles. They see how US behaves with North Korea.
The undermined reputation came about because of a significant foreign influence effort that saw an agent hold the seat of power.
Almost nobody does even mandatory 2% GDP -> NATO flow, the only countries doing so are those treated brutally by soviets/russian in the past - Poland, baltic states. Heck, freakin' Germany is trying to put their highway maintenance costs into those 2%, since 'army anyway has to drive on them' - that's borderline treasonous behavior from Scholz in situation where enemy is at literal gates and repeatedly stated that it will wipe out half of population in nuclear strikes if they want to. Polish army can roll over wehrmacht anytime without breaking a sweat. Sane voices from former eastern bloc countries well-versed in soviet terror and brutality were completely ignored first months of war.
Leading countries in EU are still acting like there is some tiny annoying localized conflict far away and it will for sure end next month, and not like existential situation with many parallels with WWII and Hitler's behavior before and during it. They could have boosted their economies by diverting more money into defense, instead we get shooting in our own foot with endless green deal to kill half of European industry. Environmentally war on Ukraine is an utter disaster - we have some paper straws stupidities while they blow up 1 million plastic + chemistry + metal drones per year, on top of all other stuff blowing and burning to hell.
That's probably the only thing I agree with trump (those 2%), but then again its painfully obvious and Obama kept saying the same. With russians they understand only the rule of stronger, just like typical mafia. Si Vis Pacem, Para Bellum.
/rant
And it might start when they seize Taiwan like Russia Ukraine, how would we stop them in the slightest when we can't stop the seizure of Ukraine?
No-one has convinced me yet that Putin isn't going to start executing generals (or falling from 3rd story) until one is willing to push the button when he's finally on his deathbed.
We (US) could have and can stop the seizure of Ukraine fairly easily, imho. We have chosen not to do so directly in an effort to prevent WW3 and/or nuclear weapon use.
> No-one has convinced me yet that Putin isn't going to start executing generals (or falling from 3rd story) until one is willing to push the button when he's finally on his deathbed.
You’re not wrong, but his successor, or whoever thinks they may be his successor, will probably prevent that from happening. So many of them have czarist ambitions, and Putin has laid the groundwork.
we could, but evidently we are not willing to. If Taiwan were taken perhaps the response would be different and we would not be as passive anymore. One thing sure, Xi noticed the weak response in Ukraine.
Russian troops were in the Crimea back when British redcoats were stationed in New York City, so I don't know exactly when this "seizure" of the Crimea by Russia is supposed to have happened.
Taiwan is Kinmen island, which sits inside the harbor of the city of Xiamen in mainland China. The PRC, the US and the Taipei government all recognize Taiwan and the mainland as the same country. So I don't know how or why "we" would try to stop the Standing Committee from going into Taiwan - the island in their own harbor.
Kind of a laugh to look at the shock of a "payoff' by Russia, when the US is doing bigger payoffs to countries all around the world.
So if the Redcoats were to come back to New York today, and started acting like they ran the place, they wouldn't be "seizing" anything, but rather just going back to the place they once were, is what you seem to be saying. Or if they did "seize" it, you wouldn't know when it was supposed to have happened.
The Russuan military was, and has been, in the Crimea since before that.
Does that mean they can go back and occupy it anytime they want to?
https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2024-07/news/north-korea-rus...
That's also why North Korea bargained some goods in exchange of their support.
> they didn't have a military alliance.
Please just admit you were wrong. If you cannot do that then there is no point in responding to you.
Maybe you can point at some pre-existing defense pact to support your claims signed before the war but I'm not aware of any existing.
It's possible that I missed it though but given that Putin flew in there when the situation got worse to negotiate their war support, I doubt they had one.
That help is coming in form of both armaments and training such as the AFU members training in France. All that with our taxes and without popular consultation...
I'd even say Russia just gave the green light for EU countries to replicate what Russia just did, they opened up the debate.
It makes no sense for you to write all of this argument and not consider this simple latter point, an aggressor force wanting to annex sections of a different country is getting help from a 3rd party outsider to even deploy troops.
Trying to fake a play as "both sides" is underhanded and shows quite well how immoral you are.
They have lost a vast number of troops, and have been having trouble recruiting more. There are still plenty of people available, but they mostly wanted to recruit prisoners and others that nobody would really miss. Going to North Korea can be read as an admission that they are running out of options.
As you say, it's not that many people. It won't change the situation on the ground. It just preserves the status quo, temporarily.
Which is all that's needed. The US is having an election which could have enormous consequences. There is a serious possibility that the US could cease to give aid to Ukraine, dramatically altering the balance of power.
If that doesn't happen, the outcome is murkier. It may be that they use the North Korean troops to give the best bargaining position for negotiation. Or they may fight until the new troops are gone, and then find more from somewhere.
Either way, it's a significant development, even though it does not in itself change the situation on the ground right now.
Cuban food shortages are a bit more understandable because they're in the western hemisphere surrounded mostly by countries friendly to the US, but North Korea?