You can argue what its value should be as a material alone, but it’s not entirely speculation.
To be maximally effective you'd need to mobilize enough attackers and enough windowless white vans to reach the entire populace within probably a day, so let's say 3 million attackers and 3 million white vans. That's when things start getting more expensive than the sql query.
i would guess that percentage of people with wallets would be very small and a relative small team could with a relative small number of white vans and wrenches could get every single one in relative short time..
and for countries that heavily monitor internet usage, like china, i bet they could have a list with pretty good assumptions on who has crypto that they can target for further investigation before sending the wrenched goons..
i bet the analysis for that is all automated by now and built into their systems, making it much easier to go after the average individual.
On the other hand, government can sieze funds from your bank account by seeking a court order or whatever legal instrument is needed in your jurisdiction.
The problem with crypto as a hedge against government overreach is with fiat exchanges. I hope more businesses start accepting crypto and you won't need to go trough an exchange that often.
In cryptocurrency's defense (I am not a Bitcoiner), it not as easy for them to do that, because they can't just order a bank to transfer it/freeze it....assuming the owner is going through a lot of elaborate, inconvenient, and easy to footgun security measures. If you have a Coinbase wallet you're in exactly the same situation as if you had cash in the bank.
HOWEVER, the cost people pay to get that is stupidly high. For every suave international drug dealer who's kept their money out of the hands of the evil government with Bitcoin, you probably have 1,000 dudes or more, who lost the keys to their wallet somehow or got their Bitcoin stolen in a hack.
So you probably shouldn't be worrying to much about duh gubbament.
And then, the obligatory xkcd about crypto: https://xkcd.com/538/ / https://arstechnica.com/security/2024/09/forget-hacking-this....
[1] Also, keeping your money in a bank account almost certainly product you from those controversial civil forfeiture situations.
Another case is when a foreign government puts you on a sanctions list and freezes your assets in the banks under their jurisdiction. This has happened to a lot of Russians and Russian companies in the last few years. (It also happened to the foreign reserves of the Russian central bank, but Bitcoin is not liquid enough to be a significant international reserve asset.)
Another case is when the government suspects you of some kind of wrongdoing but can't physically find you, or can find you but for whatever reason isn't willing to torture you. For example, two and a half years ago, some truckers in Canada staged a protest for misguided reasons, and the Canadian government of Justin Trudeau froze not only the truckers' bank accounts, and the organizers' bank accounts, but even bank accounts suspected to belong to people who were suspected of donating to the protest: https://www.cato.org/blog/emergencies-act-after-two-years https://www.newsweek.com/banks-have-begun-freezing-accounts-... https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/bureaucrats-who-froze...
> In freezing the bank accounts of Freedom Convoy protesters, Finance Canada bureaucrats said they did not intend to hurt protesters’ families’ ability to buy groceries or pay child support, though they admitted that may have ultimately happened, the Emergencies Act inquiry heard Thursday. (...) Two weeks ago, some Freedom Convoy organizers testified their spouses were cut off from their money and couldn’t make vehicle payments or purchase groceries and medication because joint bank accounts were frozen.
Earlier this year, a court found that the government's actions at the time were illegal. https://freespeechunion.org/trudeau-government-not-justified... explains:
> In pursuing this novel form of politically motivated financial censorship, Prime Minister Trudeau was following in the footsteps of Russian President Vladmir Putin, who in 2019 ordered his government to freeze bank accounts linked to opposition politician Alexei Navalny.
And of course it's well known that, when Wikileaks was targeted by the US government for their journalism, Visa and Mastercard cut off their donations despite apparently having no legal requirement to do so, while Bitcoin donations were able to continue. This was crucial in enabling Wikileaks to support Snowden's escape from the US when he revealed the extent of the US's illegal spying on its own citizens.
Bitcoin specifically, with its multi-trillion dollar market cap, is built up that high purely on speculation. It is a very fragile store of wealth, especially the higher its market cap becomes.
Mathematical properties don't provide economic value.
The demand for bitcoin is almost all speculation, and a tiny bit is for purposes of making clandestine payments, paying ransoms, and such.
Probably incredibly little. I have not in the slightest looked into it, but based on bitcoins properties, I'd guess that it doesn't suit 99.9% of Africa. They use cash and frequently use mobile phones for transferring cash etc.
You'd be much better off using the US Dollar. Even if it's through a bank like HSBC.
Those things alone do not hold up a $1.5T market cap. I would say they don’t hold up a $1.5B cap either.
Gold is a finite resource that has to be extracted and processed, ecoins are made out of thin air (mining them is a superficial analogy) and speculation.
It’s the difference between owning a farm and a gold bar.
Telsa and Amazon on the other hand believe they have something meaningful to do with the money. But eventually successful companies just don’t have anything useful to do with their giant piles of cash.
If you're referring to investing $1,000, having it be worth $1,500, and then selling off $300 to pay for groceries, which a Coinbase/whatever account would let you do with Bitcoin while it appreciates.
I get something in return for my capital, and the world gets a valuable service.
Bitcoin does not offer that. The only return it offers is the hope that tomorrow some other people will pay me more to take my bitcoin, in the hope that some other people will pay them more the day after to take the bitcoin, with the hope that .... you get it.
In a few decades or even maybe a century, your loan to the dog walker will be denominated in bitcoin.
Whenever the US stock market slumps, doesn't Bitcoins price usually slump too in almost perfect lockstep?
no; they buy it b/c they're attracted by the fantasy of a 100x return like some people got in the past. there are no solid correlation patterns with the USD or other currencies/ stocks, unlike, say, gold
I don't want a tax evasion charge hanging over my head and I can't be bothered declaring crypto transactions on my tax return, particularly when I'm using to buy medication that I may not be legally allowed to buy.
Its about that simple now. Whether or not that's good for the country (IE: does anything useful) is irrelevant now.
This is a perversion of the economic definition of inflation and deflation.
Inflation is the rate of change of prices.
Historically speaking, the "printing too much paper money" definition of "inflation", which is more or less what you're saying is "a perversion of the economic definition of inflation", preceded the "general increase in prices" definition you're talking about: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation#Classical_economics
As far as i am aware nobody uses memory cards as a medium of exchange so looks like my logic holds.
I own bitcoin. If it only ever increases in value, I'd have to be a complete idiot to spend it, when I have depreciating fiat to spend.
a) it has to have the fundamental properties of a good store of value
b) it requires the time it takes for most people in the world to realise this (or at least simply accept that it is a good store of value, based on the price history)
Bitcoin has far better fundamental store-of-value properties than any other asset the world has ever seen. Now we bitcoiners are just waiting for the rest of you to catch up. As you do you will store your wealth in it too, increasing the price. While it's growing like this, it experiences volatility as all growing assets do - it's called "price discovery". The waves get shallower and shallower the bigger it grows. It has the potential to store the majority of the value in the world.
To say it has no use is a big mistake to make. Possibly the biggest in your life depending on how long it takes for you to realise. It took me 10 years and cost me millions.
Bitcoin is deflationary as at some point in the future the total supply will decrease each year (through people dying with their money etc.)
Yet, btc price keeps rising.
Ergo, your model for understanding economics is worthless.
https://www.coinbase.com/institutional/research-insights/res...
TL;DR from the article : Stablecoins settled $10.8T worth of transactions in 2023 of which $2.3T were related to organic activities including payments and cross-border remittances, among others
Today’s payment giants suffer from major disadvantages including high transaction costs, slower settlement times and limited transparency albeit there are tradeoffs to stablecoins too
Practical example, credit/debt card processors almost universally have banned/are banning many adult content sites, but those sites are starting to accept stablecoins.
While stablecoins can be tracked, transactions cannot be universally controlled, especially not by private entities (depends on the exact stablecoin of course).
Stablecoins on what 'network/coin/layer/chain'?
Stablecoins on top of ETH? On top of SOL? On top of ETH BASE? On top of ETH Arbitrum/Optimism? Binance Smart Chain? Tron? Polygon?
Kind of. I would say blockchain hasn't really worked out. Walmart/shipping industries isn't forcing their suppliers to be on some public blockchain, that's for sure.
The on ramp and off ramp stories for crypto to/from fiat are pretty gross. I can send money with Venmo, CashApp, PayPal, etc. domestically
As soon as you talk about (probably breaking some laws) international transfers, it's an interesting tech that's getting adopted.
The blockchain aspects of it kind of don't matter. People just want to send USD-backed-something over country border walls, right?
I just ask the checker for the store's wallet address and preferred currency. Sometimes we have to negotiate about which currency I use that they also use, but this is a detail that only takes 5-10min. Once we agree on a proper currency, I pull out my 2FA dongle to auth my phone wallet app, scan their QR code, check the address twice and click send. Occasionally I will have to add or subtract a bit from the posted price, to account for market moves since I put the items in my basket.
Then I just have to wait about 20min or so for enough nodes to confirm the transaction. Then I can go with my ice cream and broccoli.
It's just that easy!
I've never encountered ONE single grocery store, or store for that matter, that accepts bitcoin as payment.
How so? Have you ever tried to buy anything with gold? Or store it?
Bitcoiners think BTC can be used for the same purpose.
Instead Bitcoin is used to buy illegal products and services such as drugs, weapons, politicians and hit men
https://www.forbes.com/sites/haileylennon/2021/01/19/the-fal...
In contrast, crypto is designed (qua permissionlessness) to evade regulation. Since it's fairly crappy technology, it's also slow and inefficient and cumbersome. So, it is better suited to illegitimate transactions than to legitimate ones. Lastly, crypto is entirely dispensable.
Yes, but even with those mechanisms in place, crime was doing ok without crypto.
> Lastly, fiat is indispensable in running a modern economy.
Not sure about this.
But yeah the usual way to buy goods and services is to convert to fiat first.
> BTC less sketchy
I get what you are saying but it is still a wild sentence. I get monetary policy, debasement, inflation... but there is no rule/law that says "BTC MUST be a safe-haven alternative to inflation"
Prices are set on the margins. Not at the absolute values.
I think the asset with $20t (M2) that has been around for hundreds of years and has a military behind it is less sketchy that the internet math coin.
You can find many non-crypto native organizations building on Ethereum: