You don't have to overcomplicate things. Supply less than demand > price goes up. Increase supply > price goes down. The data shows the same pattern over and over again[1]. See Japan as an international example or Minneapolis[2] and Austin[3] as US examples.
[1] https://deny.substack.com/p/tracking-the-anglo-worlds-housin...
[2] https://www.ft.com/content/86836af4-6b52-49e8-a8f0-8aec6181d...