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(2021)

I think this is a very important point. The political wind have shifted to the right. Polymarket is already showing strong likelihood of Trump pardoning those involved in Jan 6.

I'm not really sure its helpful to discuss this polarized issue on HN however. If anything, whatever HN thinks has very little bearing on influencing US political scene, same reason Reddit was completely taken by surprise after creating an echo chamber to hear what they wanted to hear. I feel that similar political chambers are created on HN and its not useful.

Political influence aside, the website is quite interesting and novel.

Great for people who say they "want to do their own research."

What makes you say that “whatever HN thinks” does not have any bearing on what the President-elect will or will not do—yet whatever Polymarket “is already showing” does? Unless there's something significant that I'm missing, the two seem to be roughly equivalent in terms of having any sort of direct insight into or influence on the future actions of our President-elect.

> What makes you say that “whatever HN thinks” does not have any bearing on what the President-elect will or will not do

because he doesn't read HN?

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