This reservation has taken firm hold on me and has made me a slower adopter of shiny new things.

I feel alright about it from a local perspective (I'm a lot more productive now than I was before), but I do wonder what it does to the overall dynamic and incentive to write shiny new things or generally update the ecosystem.

The LLMs will get more powerful, but to what extent will their work be dominated by existing tools (with lots of existent human-generated exemplar)?