- "Did they not hear him continually say he would impose tariffs on day one?"

I've read that a major bank advised there was a <20% chance of those tariffs actually happening. Polymarket was at 30% a couple days ago.

They assumed he was bluffing.

https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-impose-large-tariffs... ("Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?")