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> We don’t need a multi-year quintuple blind study by esteemed Ivy League research fellows to do the basic observation and deduction of the situation.

Of course not, they're going to provide more precise data and facts. Perhaps many don't need the data to arrive at conclusions the data will point to but that does not obviate the utility of the research. Really, if you think their data will point to these conclusions, one would think you'd be that much more interested to see that the research is being conducted.

> Because of (2) and his fragile ego (part of the reason he was widely considered a loser in the pre-Musk dominant circles) he went hard to the right.

This is such a weird take. While I don't disagree about Musk's ego, it should be quite obvious that there's something else at play here, considering an unhinged convicted criminal won the popular vote and became a president. I've personally seen multiple people go through the same shift to the right as Musk. Are they all losers? Or maybe, just maybe, some of the more insane policies of the current American left have pushed them there?

Sure, there's definitely a chance that some people reacted to the pendulum swing to the left; highlighted by (among many things?) Obama's election and marriage equality being passed.

But I think that more people were affected by these things:

The continued lack of funds allocated to education resulting in a terrible lack of critical thinking

The constant bombardment of social media

The influence of russia et al on social media

The gaming of recommendation algorithms by the far-right resulting in the pipeline to hatred

The crisis of masculinity where today's men don't feel they fill the same roles as their grandfathers, leading some to fall down the pipeline to hate

The gerrymandering of districts

Election rolls/registers being purged of historically left leaning people

USA supreme court rulings like Citizens United

Congress being so utterly out of touch with average Americans

And congress' age issue

Of course, there's many more points that people could argue about all day, and I don't think we're going to find out any real reasons here on HN. Maybe in 100 years time, if there's anyone left, the historians will be able to find the root issues.

> highlighted by (among many things?) Obama's election and marriage equality being passed

Genuinely I can't imagine two things less to do with more people associating with the right in America than these two. It looks as though the Democrat party has gone further and further to the hard left, and more and more people in the US have felt they have no option but to vote for change over the status quo. Mostly because of economics.

Sorry maybe that wasn’t clear: i think musk swung right because he wanted to be seen as Ironman and instead was mocked for being a loser.

Twitter can be mercilous. Musk wants so badly to be liked, didn’t get it (in part because it was so obvious), and went full Ben Shapiro aggrieved middle schooler.

Why is left always blamed for what hard right and right does? These people were right wing, fascist leaning and moderate right just did not liked when someone said that out loud. Moderate right would always go to their defense, frequently ignoring what those people do and say.

Left complains and comments about Musk, republicans and conservatives turned out to be entirely right. They were called paranoid and unfair.

Perhaps, left reacted to what right does, plans to do and was entirely correct. Perhaps, what happens now is the fault of moderate right and center who fed these people, celebrated these people, voted for these people and defended these people.

> Why is left always blamed for what hard right and right does?

Well, there is one thing the left should definitely be blamed for: alienating their own electorate. It's always "it's not our fault, it's their fault", without a shred of self-reflection. Why did previously left-leaning and left-voting people suddenly switch to vote right? And it's not because they're "hard-right", "fascists", "idiots", "racists" or "nazis" (if they were they wouldn't have voted left in the first place).

Unfortunately from what I've seen instead of taking a step back and reevaluating their approach the left is just doubling down on what they've been doing, sticking fingers in their ears and indiscriminately calling anyone who disagrees with them far right fascists. It's astonishing how far the Overton window has shifted. I just hope people come to their senses, or else we'll end up with another clown in the White House once the current one vacates it in four years.

I'm partial to believing Musk's control and personal beliefs have been a factor in changes in Xitter discourse. But what would be effective ways for convincing others? Also I like to think I verify my beliefs with systematic analysis.

Furthermore, these points don't give any analysis of how this change has evolved, exactly how the messaging has changed, what's been the timeline etc.

Not checking your assumptions with data, and furher rejecting attempts to do this, is what I think is a large part driving what's happening. But for sure I'd like a reality check for my thinking.

Imo, Musk bought twitter for political reasons and was hard right leaning long before. Just as quite a few people correctly guessed at the time. Musk was full of petty grievances long before buying twitter too, he had track record of being aggressive when meeting opposition long before and his companies had track record of treating certain groups more badly then others.

The way Musk acted before buying twitter, insulting and mocking people makes him someone who has no business to complain when they respond in kind after he fails. So, Musk buys twitter for political reasons, mocking employees, owners and those he considers to be on the left. He claims to make it more performant, fails, get mocked back.

It is getting tiresone. Musk had few minor left leaning opinions and tons of right wing ones. Notable, his got given right to control everything, be no subject to the law since he is rich and succesful in business. His few left opinions failed to made him admired on the left.

> 2. Musk, despite being the wealthiest person on earth and running companies that are genuinely fascinating, has nonetheless—against overwhelming odds—been considered a loser.

I've never heard or seen that. Musk is a public figure and subject to much criticism, but so are all public figures and Musk actively provokes it (that is, Musk trolls for it).

> 3. Because of (2) and his fragile ego (part of the reason he was widely considered a loser in the pre-Musk dominant circles) he went hard to the right. Petty grievances, anti-free speech, “burn it down”, etc.

Lots of wealthy SV people have gone hard right; they don't all have relatively fragile egos. Musk is following the herd.

It's pardoxical that people think Musk, Zuckerberg, etc. are geniuses when they both follow the herd and have chosen a herd that is running off a cliff. They did not invent this ideology (who did?).