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I’ll believe it when I can page an AI at 3AM, go back to sleep, and have it autonomously root-cause and fix a production outage no matter the cause.

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What percentage of human software engineers would you guess pass this bar?

Irrelevant. It's greater than the AI's percentage.

I'd say most of my teammates could do this. It's not a unique skill to debug a prod error.

I would say 0% of AI does? What AI can even read production environment vars, find logs in arbitrary parts of the file system, measure usage statistics, and fix the code without causing another bug?

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