That presupposes leaps of improvements in battery technology and battery recycling. Right now, the maintenance cost of a BEV is roughly $1,000 per year on battery replacement costs alone, and while I'm sure those costs will go down over time, they need to drop by 90% to be cost-competitive with ICE cars. That requires new materials that aren't on the science horizon yet, FAFAIK.
I've done plenty of wrenching in my time, out of necessity and enjoyment alike (used to do a lot of jeeping, then motorcycling), though these days I usually prefer to employ professionals. That's why I prefer older vehicles I can afford to buy outright: I can trade time against money, depending on which I happen to have more of at the moment, instead of being locked in to the fixed monthly expense I'd have with a low-mileage car.
Waterpump is replaced at the same time as the timing belt, and they rarely fail now a days. ~ 300 bucks for one as added part during the timing belt labor
I assume you are talking about brake pads as calipers rarely fail, 5-7 year maintenance interval, easy DIY job ~500 for a set of 4.
Starter motors also very rarely fail I've had the same one for 20 years in my rx8 hpde toy. Even still they are ~200 bucks and literally 2 bolts and 30 minutes of time.
We havent even hit 2000 dollars yet in critical maintenance over 10 years. If you actually knew anything about wrenching you wouldn't be saying newer cars are easier and cheaper to work on either. I dont know how you are doing 1000/ year on maintenance on an ICE but then again you presumably offroad " jeeping " which would make your experience an outlier on what commuter cars actually experience for yearly maintenance.
Someone quoted a figure for electric car maintenance, as a downside to the technology. I remarked that this actually sounded pretty good, relative to my experience with ICE cars. Someone else observed that I could choose to buy cars with a lower maintenance cost. I agreed that this was true but explained why I prefer to do things the way I do. Then you came along with a chip on your shoulder and started griping, for reasons known only to yourself.
It is a downside compared to ICE maintenance which is significantly lower.
>Life is full of trade-offs: if I did that, I'd have to carry a loan
to which I replied there are plenty of cars sub 10K which you wouldnt need a loan for and that you could easily maintain for less than 1000/year
>I remarked that this actually sounded pretty good, relative to my experience with ICE cars
When I broke down the cost of the maintenance items YOU listed as over 1000/year over 10 years I said that those items you listed dont need maintenance every year, and the cost of replacing them is far less than 1000 dollars a year. To which you replied that I was nitpicking
> Then you came along with a chip on your shoulder and started griping, for reasons known only to yourself.
Im not griping I am just telling you that you are wrong when you say that 13k/10 years is cheaper than the maintenance items you listed. Just like the other guy said.
Then again you own a jeep and you know what they say about jeep: Just Empty Every Pocket :P
No, it's just basic extrapolation of the learning curve of EVs compared to ICEs. Even if the battery stays the same price, the fact is that the battery is only ~$5000 in price out of a $30k vehicle. The other 5/6ths of the cost have room to drop. Not to mention, the battery cells might not be new but the battery pack (i.e. the big box that you put all the battery cylinders/rectangles into) is new.
>they need to drop by 90% to be cost-competitive with ICE cars.
lolwut
>the maintenance cost of a BEV is roughly $1,000 per year on battery replacement costs alone
wut
Maybe do some research before proudly displaying your ignorance for everyone to see? A replacement battery for everyone's favourite yardstick costs (from [0], the first search result):
Anywhere around $13,000-$20,000 for Models S
At least $14,000 for a Model X premium SUV
At least $13,000 for a Model 3 entry-level sedan
No matter the model or manufacturer, all EV batteries last for 10-20 years
[0] https://www.jdpower.com/cars/shopping-guides/how-often-do-te...