I follow the writings of Ben Aris, who focuses mostly on analyzing energy and capital markets in Russia.
He writes prolifically about Russia at https://www.intellinews.com/eastern-europe/
(and other places, at a lower URL path)
He believes that Russia's economy is not doing wonderfully, but not nearly as bad as the Western press says it is, and that whoever runs Russia is probably willing to put up with some pain a lot longer than Ukrainians can put up with no power no water no food, etc.
https://twitter.com/search?q=from%3A%40bneeditor%20russia%20...