> Spot on. Current environment feels like the self-driving car hype cycle. There have been a lot of bold promises (and genuine advances), but I don't see a world in the next 5 years where AI writes useful software by itself.

My worry is that we get an overnight sea-change like 4o image generation. The current tools aren't good enough for anything other than one-shotting, and then suddenly overnight, they're good enough to put a lot of people out of work.