Trump has kooky beliefs about tariffs, and his economic guys are yes men.
Economics and science mean nothing to the President. He probably heard some blowhard in a bar 50 years ago yabber about tariffs. He’s an instinctual person, and when he senses danger to himself, he’ll pivot.
I’d guess there will be air strikes on Iran or threats of an incursion into the Mexican side of the border by June.