I think we're already seeing that in the most-watched Youtube videos. The most followed Youtubers usually are the ones who are most "way-out-there" in terms of personality.
Better, because creators are no longer dependent on a film exec in LA / publishing exec in NYC / etc. to "make it" as a creative.
Worse, because while those gatekeepers did lock out many talented people, they also had the function of allowing the creator to focus excellent, "pure" work. I'm thinking of anonymous/semi-anonymous authors that wrote world-famous novels while being unknown. I don't think that is going to be a viable route anymore, because it depended on the middle-men.
Now that I think about it, this last function might actually appear again: agencies that manage a creator's marketing, budget, etc. and just let them focus on making stuff.
In short: I don't know if we could have the open opportunity of social media without it also being dependent on personal charisma.
It is entirely viable, there are a couple of pipelines that go something like [forum -> patreon -> widespread appeal] to pick up aspiring writers who can rise above the herd. It reminds me a bit of Charles Dickens - a man who was clearly being paid by the word - but much more accessible. Then there are the sites that just aggregate masses of amateur stories. Mostly badly written stories, but talent has a chance to be seen.
There isn't going to be any difficulty for the next great novel making it out into the world. The issue is more the living conditions of the legions of also-ran writers.
IMO it's very possible to convey authenticity via video, if you know what you're doing. I'm thinking of someone like Dry Creek Wrangler School:
In the future, everyone's aidoru will be famous for fifteen minutes.
Everything ai can read or watch, it can copy. So someone showing his personality on YouTube video, Instagram or even tiktok, you get all the video, feed it into an AI and you get an enhanced clone.
2. At that point, identity systems will prevent an AI from just copying another creator’s content and passing it off as their own. YouTube, Facebook etc. have an interest in keeping real humans on their platforms and not just bots.
If YouTube could replace humans with AI, and thus reduce all that annoying overhead that comes with dealing with creators, and do so without reducing the number of ads that are watched, then I bet Google would be ok with it.
This is a sci-fi fantasy with no connection to reality. In the real world, IP matters a lot and lawyers determine what’s allowed on YouTube, not demigod AIs.
Laws are skewed through lobbying as a matter of course, and individual content creators don't have the same legal reach as AI unicorns.
I also think your comment is an example of the "just world fallacy" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just-world_fallacy). Google/Youtube has vastly more resources, lawyers and lobbying power than individual creatives.
Not to mention the fact that the minute it becomes obvious to society writ large that YouTube is not filled with real people, and is only AI fake bots, it immediately will become blasé and uninteresting to the vast majority of people. Humans like humans, not facsimiles of humans.
Way too much sci-fi AI worship on this site sometimes, it borders on deification. “An infinitely powerful being will have no restrictions.” Human culture isn’t a math problem that can be replaced and solved with computing power.
Google can’t even seem to make search results that work anymore. Color me dubious that they can create thousands, millions of unique characters and content that out-compete real people.
GenAI is making inroads there but only as tools. Like Avid plugins that enhance productivity rather than replacing the actors themselves.
However Hollywood is a very very very different industry to the likes of YouTube. You cannot discuss the two industries like they’re equivalent. The stuff that would be banned in Hollywood would be perfect acceptable on YouTube. And visa verse too.
By the way, I wasn’t suggesting that YouTube would replace real content creators with AI copies of their originals. I was just making the point that YouTube doesn’t make its money from content creators; it makes it from advertising. So we shouldn’t assume that Google will defend the rights of those creators.
They want a human audience, but I suspect they are fine with bot creators and are probably working on that themselves.
Ever notice all those channels on YouTube and Spotify that are hours and hours of lofi music? They aren’t all human and some of them have big audiences.
https://harpers.org/archive/2025/01/the-ghosts-in-the-machin...
2. Social networks don't have any interest whatsoever in keeping creators humans. Creators are the cost, viewers or better yet paid subscribers, and the advertising buyers, are the revenue. IF majority of people are happy to consume generated content, social networks are happy to indulge. We on HN are assuming and hoping for some kind of human revolt, but we have historically been horrible at predicting such. Majority of people don't care a whif about stuff that HN cares about deeply (see: privacy, security,open source, etc:).
(This is not a hypothetical as far as I'm concerned - Spotify already has popular LoFi / sleep / working music channels it promotes that are generated cheaply by AI, or session musicians that are one step away from being / being replaced by AI. YouTube and Facebook are full of clips which have chatgpt generating text, AI voiceover, and short AI clips merged together - today, vs decades from now).
* Completely unrealistic fake rescue videos * Drawings and photos and paintings presented as own * Videos which are AI voices from an AI script with AI animations * And let's not get into the news/"news" aspect of it all
I fear Idiocracy is more in our future, but here's hoping you're right :)