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People use, and pay for, ad-ridden services all the time. I mean, just look at Cable TV and the direction all the streaming services are going.

Provided there are no identical alternatives without ads.

Data won't be open and free for scraping in the future. And news worthy sites will ask for $$.

So nope, open models won't be a threat in the future.

It will take a long time until an average person has the resources to run models of similar quality (and speed) as Google and OpenAI can provide today.

It took under a year last time.

Because it's going to be 100x better than open models.