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When movies are made for entertainments sake, they can still do well. ( Top Gun 2, for example ).

I’m really looking forward to the Space Balls sequel. I have hopes that one will be good.

If movie needs number to be distinguishable then it is probably not good.

Good thing it was called Top Gun: Maverick, then! No number necessary. :-)

I don't know that I agree "Does the sequel dramatically change the naming convention" is a particularly powerful marker of quality.

Unfortunately, Top Gun 2 was not "for entertainment's sake" it was another round of US military advertising/propaganda, just like the first one.

If it wasn't sufficiently entertaining, it would be ineffective as propaganda.