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I wonder who will flinch first. I highly doubt domestic manufacturing can scale up fast enough to meet demand but It'd be fun to be proven wrong.

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You're assuming domestic manufacturing will scale up... tariffing the raw inputs to manufacturing seems unlikely to do this.

also, the tariffs have changed very rapidly for a bit now, so you can't really make multi year investments based on them

I have yet to see any compelling argument for the expected source of labor for the scale-up in manufacturing. We're going the other way and reducing our labor force.

In a country where people were ready to riot when service was slow at Chili's in the summer of '20, policy aimed at reducing restaurant employment seems risky.

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