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90% of jobs replaced by AI in 3 years? UBI in 5 years?

Why do all of these articles have completely unrealistic timeframes? This feels like someone trying their hand at the https://ai-2027.com/ project, which was based on some mathematically flimsy models that models that have been widely debunked.

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Timeframes always feel unrealistic when you’re in the middle of an exponential curve. Smartphones, cloud, and even remote work adoption looked “impossible” until they suddenly became default. AI doesn’t need AGI to displace jobs, it only needs to be cheaper and good enough at scale, and that threshold is already being crossed.

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