https://files.catbox.moe/xc1ik1.png
(NATO is a funny one too lol)
https://files.catbox.moe/xc1ik1.png
(NATO is a funny one too lol)
Polymarkets currently has him at 3%
https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025?t...
But that comes at a steep cost. It's a huge negative externality. Placing bets on future outcomes like this isn't the same as placing bets on future outcomes by starting companies, investing in companies, doing fundamental research, or even putting your money in the public markets.
It's like sports betting. We're making the marketplace rich and separating gambling addicts from their livelihoods. Without enriching society.
We should tax this to pay for education or have some kind of societal upside. It's all bad, otherwise.
- Trump doesn't project a peaceful image, that's not his style, unlike Obama. No matter the result of his actions, he is at a disadvantage.
- The September peace proposal for the Gaza war that could make a good argument is likely to be too recent to influence the decision.
- Trump wants to annex Greenland, I don't think the Norwegian Nobel Committee appreciates.
Why is Firefix blocking it? Is HSTS somehow bad?
Oh there's something with their certificate